Tennis · WTA Beijing · 28/09, 06:30
Prediction: Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Tian Jialin
Team pages: Andrea Lazaro Garcia · Tian Jialin
Prediction summary
Winner
Andrea Lazaro Garcia
Tian Jialin
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Andrea Lazaro Garcia
6-4 (W-L)
Tian Jialin
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Andrea Lazaro Garcia 1528 · Tian Jialin 1545
| Andrea Lazaro Garcia | Tian Jialin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 81% | 19% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Andrea Lazaro Garcia makes many double faults (5.2/match).
Statistics
| Andrea Lazaro Garcia | Tian Jialin | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (5) | 83% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 1.3-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-10.4 | 11.6-8.5 |
| Aces | 0.5 | 1.4 |
| Double faults | 5.2 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 58.4% | 68.4% |
| Break % | 49% | 60.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Andrea Lazaro Garcia
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09 | Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur WTA Valencia · Clay |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 16/09 | Ane Mintegi Del Olmo WTA Valencia · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 14/09 | Carlota Martinez Cirez WTA Valencia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/09 | Anastasiya Konstantinovna Soboleva WTA Montreux · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Angela Fita Boluda WTA Montreux · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 27/08 | Polina Iatcenko US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 26/08 | Mai Hontama US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 24/08 | Elina Avanesyan US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 06/08 | Aurora Zantedeschi W75 Leipzig |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 04/08 | Chloe Paquet W75 Leipzig |
2-0 | 12-10 | W |
Tian Jialin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09 | Carmen Gallardo Guevara W50 Yecla |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 21/09 | Alba Rey Garcia W50 Yecla |
2-1 | 15-8 | W |
| 20/09 | Claudia Cairols Aparicio W50 Yecla |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 25/08 | Jenna Defalco W15 Torello · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 10/07 | Kali Supova W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 10/07 | Tea Kovacevic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 09/07 | Helena Stevic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/06 | Dusica Popovski W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-0 | 6-3 | W |
| 25/06 | Gala Ivanovic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 23/06 | Nadja Mladenovic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Tian Jialin?
Our model gives 66% to Andrea Lazaro Garcia, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.