Tennis · WTA Beijing · 28/09, 06:30
Prediction: Yiming Dang vs Xiaodi You
Team pages: Yiming Dang · Xiaodi You
Prediction summary
Winner
Yiming Dang
Xiaodi You
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Yiming Dang
5-5 (W-L)
Xiaodi You
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yiming Dang 1480 · Xiaodi You 1438
| Yiming Dang | Xiaodi You | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 11% | 89% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Yiming Dang (rating 1480 vs 1438).
- Note: Yiming Dang makes many double faults (6.8/match).
- Note: Xiaodi You makes many double faults (6.5/match).
Statistics
| Yiming Dang | Xiaodi You | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 20% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (6) | 0% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.3 | 0.9-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.5-9.7 | 9.4-12.4 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 6.8 | 6.5 |
| 1st serve % | 62.7% | 60.9% |
| Break % | 47.9% | 49.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yiming Dang
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | Jaeda Daniel WTA Philadelphia · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Katherine Hui W35 Southaven |
1-2 | 9-10 | L |
| 30/07 | Piper Charney W35 Florence |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Capucine Jauffret W35 Florence |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 03/06 | Laura Mair WTA Foggia · Clay |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 01/06 | Eleonora Alvisi WTA Foggia · Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 25/05 | Andreea Prisacariu W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 24/05 | Klara Vaja W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 18/05 | Ruth Roura Llaverias W75 Kosice · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 17/05 | Viktoria Varga W75 Kosice · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Xiaodi You
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09 | Alina Charaeva WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 13/09 | Victoria Bosio WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 12/09 | Luiza Fullana WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/09 | Claire Liu WTA Barranquilla · Hard |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 24/08 | Qinwen Zheng US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Ekaterine Gorgodze W100 Landisville |
1-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Leolia Jeanjean Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 16/06 | Ane Mintegi Del Olmo WTA Brescia · Clay |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 09/06 | Leyre Romero Gormaz WTA Modena · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/06 | Leyre Romero Gormaz WTA Foggia · Clay |
1-2 | 8-18 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yiming Dang vs Xiaodi You?
Our model gives 69% to Xiaodi You, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.