Tennis · WTA Beijing · 28/09, 05:00
Prediction: Harriet Dart vs Tiphanie Lemaitre
Team pages: Harriet Dart · Tiphanie Lemaitre
Prediction summary
Winner
Harriet Dart
Tiphanie Lemaitre
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Harriet Dart
4-6 (W-L)
Tiphanie Lemaitre
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Harriet Dart 1528 · Tiphanie Lemaitre 1481
| Harriet Dart | Tiphanie Lemaitre | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 83% | 17% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Harriet Dart (rating 1528 vs 1481).
- Note: Harriet Dart makes many double faults (4.6/match).
Statistics
| Harriet Dart | Tiphanie Lemaitre | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.2 | 0.9-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-10.2 | 10.4-10 |
| Aces | 2 | 2.2 |
| Double faults | 4.6 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 64.6% | 62.6% |
| Break % | 43.5% | 47.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Harriet Dart
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09 | Marie Bouzkova US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 31/08 | Peyton Stearns US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 28/08 | Heather Watson US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 26/08 | Kristina Penickova US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 17-10 | W |
| 25/08 | Jordyn Hazelitt US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 18-8 | W |
| 14/08 | Peyton Stearns WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 13/08 | Aoi Ito WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 12/08 | Moyuka Uchijima WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 01/08 | Sloane Stephens WTA Toronto · Hard |
1-2 | 8-15 | L |
| 30/07 | Taylah Preston WTA Vancouver · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Tiphanie Lemaitre
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09 | Charo Esquiva Banuls W50 Yecla |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 24/09 | Lea Boskovic W50 Yecla |
1-0 | 10-8 | W |
| 23/09 | Valentina Ivanov W50 Yecla |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 16/09 | Naiktha Bains W75 Le Neubourg |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 27/08 | Mara Guth W35 Verbier |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 25/08 | Anastasia Bertacchi W35 Verbier |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 18/08 | Elsa Bonelli W35 Verbier |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 13/08 | Daria Khomutsianskaya W35 Vigo |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 12/08 | Angelina Voloshchuk W35 Vigo |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 04/08 | Yasmine Kabbaj W75 Ourense |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Harriet Dart vs Tiphanie Lemaitre?
Our model gives 71% to Harriet Dart, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.