Tennis · W50 Nanao · 27/09, 03:00
Prediction: Sakura Hosogi vs Hiromi Abe
Team pages: Sakura Hosogi · Hiromi Abe
Prediction summary
Winner
Sakura Hosogi
Hiromi Abe
Estimated games
22.4
Recent form · 10 last
Sakura Hosogi
3-7 (W-L)
Hiromi Abe
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Sakura Hosogi
1–0
Hiromi Abe
(1 last)
- 08 Jan2-0 12-9W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sakura Hosogi 1495 · Hiromi Abe 1608
| Sakura Hosogi | Hiromi Abe | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 66% |
| Market | 22% | 78% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hiromi Abe (rating 1495 vs 1608).
- Hiromi Abe is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Sakura Hosogi 1–0 Hiromi Abe (1).
Statistics
| Sakura Hosogi | Hiromi Abe | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 90% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (2) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.5 | 1.9-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.7-13.2 | 12.7-7.4 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 0.5 |
| Double faults | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1st serve % | 54.7% | 66.6% |
| Break % | 37.2% | 53% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.4
H2H · Sakura Hosogi 1 – 0 Hiromi Abe (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sakura Hosogi 1–0 Hiromi Abe
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/01/26 W75 Nonthaburi | 2-0 | 12-9 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sakura Hosogi
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | Michika Ozeki W50 Nanao |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 25/09 | Hikaru Sato W50 Nanao |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 24/09 | Rinko Matsuda W50 Nanao |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 22/09 | Natsuki Yoshimoto W50 Nanao |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 15/09 | Ena Shibahara W35 Kyoto |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/09 | Anna Kubareva W50 Guiyang |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/08 | Rinko Matsuda W75 Tianjin |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 18/08 | Haruka Kaji W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 12/08 | Lea Boskovic W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Darja Vidmanova W100 Evansville |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
Hiromi Abe
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | Sayaka Ishii W50 Nanao |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/09 | Eri Shimizu W50 Nanao |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/09 | Kanon Sawashiro W50 Nanao |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 23/09 | Haruna Arakawa W50 Nanao |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 20/09 | Jia-Jing Lu W35 Kyoto |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 19/09 | Rinko Matsuda W35 Kyoto |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 18/09 | Sayaka Ishii W35 Kyoto |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 17/09 | Mio Mushika W35 Kyoto |
2-0 | 8-1 | W |
| 15/09 | Chia Yi Tsao W35 Kyoto |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 10/09 | Yujin Kim W15 Yeongwol |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sakura Hosogi vs Hiromi Abe?
Our model gives 73% to Hiromi Abe, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.