Prediction: Sakura Hosogi vs Rinko Matsuda
Team pages: Sakura Hosogi · Rinko Matsuda
Prediction summary
Winner
Sakura Hosogi
Rinko Matsuda
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Sakura Hosogi
3-7 (W-L)
Rinko Matsuda
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Sakura Hosogi
0–1
Rinko Matsuda
(1 last)
- 30 Aug1-2 17-18L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sakura Hosogi 1461 · Rinko Matsuda 1558
| Sakura Hosogi | Rinko Matsuda | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 64% |
| Market | 42% | 58% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rinko Matsuda (rating 1461 vs 1558).
- Rinko Matsuda is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Sakura Hosogi 0–1 Rinko Matsuda (1).
Statistics
| Sakura Hosogi | Rinko Matsuda | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (2) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.7 | 1.5-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 10-13.2 | 11.8-10.3 |
| Aces | 0.3 | 1.7 |
| Double faults | 1 | 0.9 |
| 1st serve % | 52.7% | 60.9% |
| Break % | 40% | 52.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.2
H2H · Sakura Hosogi 0 – 1 Rinko Matsuda (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sakura Hosogi 0–1 Rinko Matsuda
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08/26 W75 Tianjin | 1-2 | 17-18 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sakura Hosogi
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Natsuki Yoshimoto W50 Nanao |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 15/09 | Ena Shibahara W35 Kyoto |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/09 | Anna Kubareva W50 Guiyang |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/08 | Rinko Matsuda W75 Tianjin |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 18/08 | Haruka Kaji W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 12/08 | Lea Boskovic W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Darja Vidmanova W100 Evansville |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 22/07 | Ena Koike W100 Evansville |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 18/07 | Sara Saito W75 Granby |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/07 | Ena Koike W75 Granby |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
Rinko Matsuda
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Ikumi Yamazaki W50 Nanao |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/09 | Hiromi Abe W35 Kyoto |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 18/09 | Natsumi Kawaguchi W35 Kyoto |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/09 | Hina Inoue W35 Kyoto |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 15/09 | Ayumi Miyamoto W35 Kyoto |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 31/08 | Shiyu Ye W75 Tianjin |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 30/08 | Sakura Hosogi W75 Tianjin |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 27/08 | Priska Madelyn Nugroho W15 Tianjin |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Kamonwan Yodpetch W15 Tianjin |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/08 | Meng Yi Chen W15 Tianjin |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sakura Hosogi vs Rinko Matsuda?
Our model gives 60% to Rinko Matsuda, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.