Prediction: Sakura Hosogi vs Hikaru Sato
Team pages: Sakura Hosogi · Hikaru Sato
Prediction summary
Winner
Sakura Hosogi
Hikaru Sato
Estimated games
23.5
Recent form · 10 last
Sakura Hosogi
2-8 (W-L)
Hikaru Sato
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Sakura Hosogi
1–0
Hikaru Sato
(1 last)
- 23 Oct2-0 12-6W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sakura Hosogi 1447 · Hikaru Sato 1502
| Sakura Hosogi | Hikaru Sato | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hikaru Sato (rating 1447 vs 1502).
- Head-to-head: Sakura Hosogi 1–0 Hikaru Sato (1).
Statistics
| Sakura Hosogi | Hikaru Sato | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (2) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.7 | 1.2-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 10-13.3 | 12.5-12.3 |
| Aces | 0.5 | 2.8 |
| Double faults | 0.9 | 3.9 |
| 1st serve % | 53.5% | 66% |
| Break % | 38.2% | 38.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.5
H2H · Sakura Hosogi 1 – 0 Hikaru Sato (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sakura Hosogi 1–0 Hikaru Sato
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10/24 ITF W75 Playford | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sakura Hosogi
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09 | Rinko Matsuda W50 Nanao |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 22/09 | Natsuki Yoshimoto W50 Nanao |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 15/09 | Ena Shibahara W35 Kyoto |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/09 | Anna Kubareva W50 Guiyang |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/08 | Rinko Matsuda W75 Tianjin |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 18/08 | Haruka Kaji W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 12/08 | Lea Boskovic W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Darja Vidmanova W100 Evansville |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 22/07 | Ena Koike W100 Evansville |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 18/07 | Sara Saito W75 Granby |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Hikaru Sato
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09 | Mutsumi Uemura W50 Nanao |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 23/09 | Kisa Yoshioka W50 Nanao |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 16/09 | Natsuki Yoshimoto W35 Kyoto |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 07/09 | Kayo Nishimura W50 Guiyang |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 06/09 | Yuno Kitahara W50 Guiyang |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 31/08 | Jiaqi Wang W75 Tianjin |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 30/08 | Yingqun Sun W75 Tianjin |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 12/08 | Julia Avdeeva W35 Aldershot |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Indianna Spink W35 Aldershot |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 06/08 | Amelia Rajecki W35 Roehampton · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sakura Hosogi vs Hikaru Sato?
Our model gives 50% to Sakura Hosogi, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.