Prediction: Tiana Tian Deng vs Michika Ozeki
Team pages: Tiana Tian Deng · Michika Ozeki
Prediction summary
Winner
Tiana Tian Deng
Michika Ozeki
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Tiana Tian Deng
7-3 (W-L)
Michika Ozeki
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tiana Tian Deng 1566 · Michika Ozeki 1455
| Tiana Tian Deng | Michika Ozeki | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 65% | 35% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tiana Tian Deng (rating 1566 vs 1455).
- Tiana Tian Deng is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Tiana Tian Deng | Michika Ozeki | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 1.1-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-9.2 | 10.8-12.7 |
| Aces | 2.7 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 67.9% | 55.4% |
| Break % | 52.4% | 50% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tiana Tian Deng
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09 | Jia-Jing Lu W50 Nanao |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/09 | Yuno Kitahara W50 Nanao |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/09 | Sera Nishimoto W50 Nanao |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 21/09 | Yuna Sugiyama W50 Nanao |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/09 | Natsuki Yoshimoto W35 Kyoto |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 16/09 | Hiroko Kuwata W35 Kyoto |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 15/09 | Kurea Hayasaka W35 Kyoto |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 20/08 | Peangtarn Plipuech W15 Tianjin |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Kamonwan Yodpetch W15 Tianjin |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/07 | Kaitlin Quevedo WTA Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Michika Ozeki
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09 | Kurumi Tamura W50 Nanao |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 23/09 | Yidi Yang W50 Nanao |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 16/09 | Eri Shimizu W35 Kyoto |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 08/09 | Ha Eum Lee W15 Yeongwol |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Eun Ji Lee W15 Yeongwol |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 11/08 | Duanrui Gao W15 Tianjin |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 04/08 | Yihan Qu W15 Tianjin |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Donna Le Roux W15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 09/07 | Jahnie Van Zyl W35 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 07/07 | Milla Kotze W35 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tiana Tian Deng vs Michika Ozeki?
Our model gives 73% to Tiana Tian Deng, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.