Tennis · W50 Nanao · 26/09, 04:30
Prediction: Sakura Hosogi vs Michika Ozeki
Team pages: Sakura Hosogi · Michika Ozeki
Prediction summary
Winner
Sakura Hosogi
Michika Ozeki
Estimated games
24
Recent form · 10 last
Sakura Hosogi
2-8 (W-L)
Michika Ozeki
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Sakura Hosogi
0–1
Michika Ozeki
(1 last)
- 11 Jun0-2 8-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sakura Hosogi 1476 · Michika Ozeki 1465
| Sakura Hosogi | Michika Ozeki | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 84% | 16% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Sakura Hosogi 0–1 Michika Ozeki (1).
Statistics
| Sakura Hosogi | Michika Ozeki | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (2) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.6 | 1.1-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-13.5 | 11.3-13.9 |
| Aces | 0.6 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 1.3 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 54.9% | 55.5% |
| Break % | 38.9% | 46.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24
H2H · Sakura Hosogi 0 – 1 Michika Ozeki (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sakura Hosogi 0–1 Michika Ozeki
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06/17 ITF Women Kofu Qual | 0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sakura Hosogi
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09 | Hikaru Sato W50 Nanao |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 24/09 | Rinko Matsuda W50 Nanao |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 22/09 | Natsuki Yoshimoto W50 Nanao |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 15/09 | Ena Shibahara W35 Kyoto |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/09 | Anna Kubareva W50 Guiyang |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/08 | Rinko Matsuda W75 Tianjin |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 18/08 | Haruka Kaji W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 12/08 | Lea Boskovic W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Darja Vidmanova W100 Evansville |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 22/07 | Ena Koike W100 Evansville |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
Michika Ozeki
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09 | Tiana Tian Deng W50 Nanao |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 24/09 | Kurumi Tamura W50 Nanao |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 23/09 | Yidi Yang W50 Nanao |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 16/09 | Eri Shimizu W35 Kyoto |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 08/09 | Ha Eum Lee W15 Yeongwol |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Eun Ji Lee W15 Yeongwol |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 11/08 | Duanrui Gao W15 Tianjin |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 04/08 | Yihan Qu W15 Tianjin |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Donna Le Roux W15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 09/07 | Jahnie Van Zyl W35 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sakura Hosogi vs Michika Ozeki?
Our model gives 70% to Sakura Hosogi, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.