Tennis · W50 Nanao · 25/09, 03:00

Prediction: Eri Shimizu vs Hiromi Abe

Team pages: Eri Shimizu · Hiromi Abe

Prediction summary
Winner
35% 65%
Eri Shimizu Hiromi Abe
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Eri Shimizu 5-5 (W-L)
WLWLLLWLWW
Hiromi Abe 6-4 (W-L)
LLWWWLWLWW
Head-to-head
Eri Shimizu 2–0 Hiromi Abe (2 last)
  • 05 Nov2-0 12-6W
  • 08 Apr2-1 26-19W
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Eri Shimizu 1545 · Hiromi Abe 1594
Eri ShimizuHiromi Abe
Our model43%57%
Market28%72%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hiromi Abe (rating 1545 vs 1594).
  • Head-to-head: Eri Shimizu 2–0 Hiromi Abe (2).

Statistics

Eri ShimizuHiromi Abe
Win %60%80%
Win % · Hard 50% (2)
Sets (G-P)1.4-11.7-0.8
Games (G-P)11.7-10.312.7-8.3
Aces1.30.5
Double faults1.81.7
1st serve %66.1%64.4%
Break %46.7%58.1%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.5

H2H · Eri Shimizu 20 Hiromi Abe (2)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Eri Shimizu 20 Hiromi Abe

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DateSetsGamesRes.
05/11/24
ITF W35 Hamamatsu
2-012-6W
08/04/24
W35 Osaka
2-126-19W

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Eri Shimizu

WWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
24/09 Nana Onozawa
W50 Nanao
2-0 13-7 W
23/09 Chia Yi Tsao
W50 Nanao
2-0 12-6 W
18/09 Jia-Jing Lu
W35 Kyoto
0-2 3-12 L
17/09 Jiangxue Han
W35 Kyoto
2-0 12-4 W
16/09 Michika Ozeki
W35 Kyoto
2-1 16-11 W
07/09 Sijia Wei
W50 Guiyang
1-2 13-18 L
06/09 Patcharin Cheapchandej
W50 Guiyang
2-1 15-13 W
30/08 Valeria Savinykh
W75 Tianjin
1-2 15-17 L
18/06 Misaki Matsuda
W35 Taipei · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L
17/06 Nagi Hanatani
W35 Taipei · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W

Hiromi Abe

WWWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
24/09 Kanon Sawashiro
W50 Nanao
2-0 12-2 W
23/09 Haruna Arakawa
W50 Nanao
2-0 12-3 W
20/09 Jia-Jing Lu
W35 Kyoto
2-1 16-15 W
19/09 Rinko Matsuda
W35 Kyoto
2-1 17-12 W
18/09 Sayaka Ishii
W35 Kyoto
2-1 16-13 W
17/09 Mio Mushika
W35 Kyoto
2-0 8-1 W
15/09 Chia Yi Tsao
W35 Kyoto
2-0 12-4 W
10/09 Yujin Kim
W15 Yeongwol
1-2 10-13 L
08/09 Eva Marie Desvignes
W15 Yeongwol
2-1 18-8 W
12/08 Katarina Kujovic
W35 Aldershot
0-2 6-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Eri Shimizu vs Hiromi Abe?

Our model gives 65% to Hiromi Abe, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.