Tennis · M25 Setubal · 24/09, 11:00
Prediction: Giulio Perego vs Diogo Morais
Team pages: Giulio Perego · Diogo Morais
Prediction summary
Winner
Giulio Perego
Diogo Morais
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Giulio Perego
5-5 (W-L)
Diogo Morais
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Giulio Perego 1480 · Diogo Morais 1506
| Giulio Perego | Diogo Morais | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Giulio Perego | Diogo Morais | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (2) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.4 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.2-11.2 | 10.7-10 |
| Aces | 2 | 1.1 |
| Double faults | 1.3 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 64.5% | 64.2% |
| Break % | 46.1% | 42% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Giulio Perego
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Mario Gonzalez Fernandez M25 Setubal |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/09 | Vasco Leote Prata M25 Sintra |
1-2 | 6-11 | L |
| 03/09 | Jake Fellows M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Aradhya Kshitij M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 24/08 | Fabrizio Andaloro Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 23/08 | Arvid Nordquist Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 16/08 | Filip Peliwo Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 05/08 | George Loffhagen M25 Roehampton · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Tiago Cacao M25 Aldershot |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 29/07 | James Beaven M25 Aldershot |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
Diogo Morais
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09 | Lucas Poullain M25 Setubal |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/09 | Pierre Antoine Tailleu M25 Setubal |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/09 | Robin Bertrand M25 Sintra |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 14/09 | Tomas Curras Abasolo M25 Sintra |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/09 | Max Houkes M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Arthur Nagel M25 Casablanca · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Yazid Lahjomri M25 Casablanca · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 01/09 | Romesh Kahatapitiya M25 Casablanca · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 19/08 | Izan Almazan Valiente M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 12/08 | Rocco Piatti M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Giulio Perego vs Diogo Morais?
Our model gives 55% to Diogo Morais, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.