Tennis · W35 Santa Margherita · 26/09, 10:00
Prediction: Vittoria Paganetti vs Alena Kovackova
Team pages: Vittoria Paganetti · Alena Kovackova
Prediction summary
Winner
Vittoria Paganetti
Alena Kovackova
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Vittoria Paganetti
7-3 (W-L)
Alena Kovackova
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Vittoria Paganetti 1563 · Alena Kovackova 1562
| Vittoria Paganetti | Alena Kovackova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 25% | 75% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Vittoria Paganetti makes many double faults (8.7/match).
Statistics
| Vittoria Paganetti | Alena Kovackova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 70% (10) | 100% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.7 | 1.6-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-8.8 | 12.8-9.4 |
| Aces | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 8.7 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 64.1% | 60.1% |
| Break % | 56.5% | 57.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Vittoria Paganetti
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09 | Camilla Gennaro W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 24/09 | Romane Longueville W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 23/09 | Oceane Babel W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 17/09 | Ilary Pistola W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 16/09 | Beatrice Stagno W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/08 | Felitsata Dorofeeva-Rybas W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 07/08 | Arina Bulatova W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/08 | Galena Krastenova W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 04/08 | Sofija Milenkovic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 11-4 | W |
| 01/08 | Rebecca Munk Mortensen W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Alena Kovackova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09 | Martina Colmegna W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 24/09 | Ilary Pistola W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/09 | Tilwith Di Girolami W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 02/09 | Loes Ebeling Koning W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer |
0-2 | 6-10 | L |
| 26/08 | Eva Bennemann W50 Oldenzaal |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 25/08 | Maria Toma W50 Oldenzaal |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 24/08 | Laura Boehner W50 Oldenzaal |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 21/08 | Jana Kovackova W50 Prague |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 20/08 | Alicia Herrero Linana W50 Prague |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 19/08 | Beatrise Zeltina W50 Prague |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Vittoria Paganetti vs Alena Kovackova?
Our model gives 64% to Alena Kovackova, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.