Tennis · W35 Santa Margherita · 26/09, 10:00
Prediction: Marie Mettraux vs Alisa Oktiabreva
Team pages: Marie Mettraux · Alisa Oktiabreva
Prediction summary
Winner
Marie Mettraux
Alisa Oktiabreva
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Marie Mettraux
8-2 (W-L)
Alisa Oktiabreva
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Marie Mettraux 1562 · Alisa Oktiabreva 1604
| Marie Mettraux | Alisa Oktiabreva | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 12% | 88% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alisa Oktiabreva (rating 1562 vs 1604).
Statistics
| Marie Mettraux | Alisa Oktiabreva | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 80% (5) | 89% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.6 | 1.6-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-8.9 | 10.8-6.7 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 58.3% | 62.1% |
| Break % | 52.7% | 51.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Marie Mettraux
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09 | Denise Valente W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/09 | Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 23/09 | Barbara Dessolis W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/09 | Tatsiana Sasnouskaya W15 Cap d'Agde |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 01/09 | Amahee Charrier W15 Cap d'Agde |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 27/08 | Aran Teixido Garcia W35 Trieste |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Laura Mair W35 Trieste |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 25/08 | Daphnee Mpetshi Perricard W35 Trieste |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/08 | Jessica Pieri W35 Bistrita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 20/08 | Patricia Georgiana Goina W35 Bistrita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Alisa Oktiabreva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09 | Tena Lukas W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 9-2 | W |
| 24/09 | Daria Yesypchuk W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 23/09 | Sofia Shapatava W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 20/09 | Marta Lombardini W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 19/09 | Franziska Sziedat W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/09 | Matilde Paoletti W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 17/09 | Laura Boehner W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 16/09 | Mia Horvit W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/07 | Oceane Dodin WTA Prague · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/04 | Yue Yuan WTA Oeiras · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Marie Mettraux vs Alisa Oktiabreva?
Our model gives 74% to Alisa Oktiabreva, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.