Tennis · W35 Santa Margherita · 27/09, 10:00
Prediction: Alisa Oktiabreva vs Alena Kovackova
Team pages: Alisa Oktiabreva · Alena Kovackova
Prediction summary
Winner
Alisa Oktiabreva
Alena Kovackova
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Alisa Oktiabreva
8-2 (W-L)
Alena Kovackova
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alisa Oktiabreva 1626 · Alena Kovackova 1568
| Alisa Oktiabreva | Alena Kovackova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 69% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alisa Oktiabreva (rating 1626 vs 1568).
Statistics
| Alisa Oktiabreva | Alena Kovackova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 100% (9) | 100% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.4 | 1.6-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-6.8 | 12.8-9.4 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 63.4% | 59.3% |
| Break % | 55.6% | 58.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alisa Oktiabreva
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | Marie Mettraux W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 25/09 | Tena Lukas W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 9-2 | W |
| 24/09 | Daria Yesypchuk W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 23/09 | Sofia Shapatava W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 20/09 | Marta Lombardini W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 19/09 | Franziska Sziedat W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/09 | Matilde Paoletti W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 17/09 | Laura Boehner W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 16/09 | Mia Horvit W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/07 | Oceane Dodin WTA Prague · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Alena Kovackova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | Vittoria Paganetti W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 25/09 | Martina Colmegna W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 24/09 | Ilary Pistola W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/09 | Tilwith Di Girolami W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 02/09 | Loes Ebeling Koning W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer |
0-2 | 6-10 | L |
| 26/08 | Eva Bennemann W50 Oldenzaal |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 25/08 | Maria Toma W50 Oldenzaal |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 24/08 | Laura Boehner W50 Oldenzaal |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 21/08 | Jana Kovackova W50 Prague |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 20/08 | Alicia Herrero Linana W50 Prague |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alisa Oktiabreva vs Alena Kovackova?
Our model gives 64% to Alisa Oktiabreva, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.