Tennis · W35 Santa Margherita · 24/09, 11:00
Prediction: Tena Lukas vs Sara Cakarevic
Team pages: Tena Lukas · Sara Cakarevic
Prediction summary
Winner
Tena Lukas
Sara Cakarevic
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Tena Lukas
5-5 (W-L)
Sara Cakarevic
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Tena Lukas
3–0
Sara Cakarevic
(3 last)
- 18 Aug2-1 18-14W
- 03 Mar2-1 15-8W
- 03 Oct2-0 12-3W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tena Lukas 1502 · Sara Cakarevic 1531
| Tena Lukas | Sara Cakarevic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 61% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Tena Lukas 3–0 Sara Cakarevic (3).
- Note: Tena Lukas makes many double faults (5/match).
Statistics
| Tena Lukas | Sara Cakarevic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (4) | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.1 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.9-8.9 | 9.7-9 |
| Aces | 2.8 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 5 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 64.1% | 57.8% |
| Break % | 54.3% | 45.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
H2H · Tena Lukas 3 – 0 Sara Cakarevic (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tena Lukas 3–0 Sara Cakarevic
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08/21 ITF W25 Vrnjacka Banja | 2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 03/03/20 ITF W25 Antalya | 2-1 | 15-8 | W |
| 03/10/19 ITF W25 Santa Margherita | 2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tena Lukas
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09 | Verena Meliss W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 9-0 | W |
| 13/09 | Madison Sieg WTA Valencia · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/09 | Nastasja Schunk WTA Antalya · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/09 | Aya Akan WTA Antalya · Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 28/08 | Nastasja Schunk W50 Oldenzaal |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 27/08 | Joy De Zeeuw W50 Oldenzaal |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/08 | Arina Gabriela Vasilescu W50 Oldenzaal |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 20/08 | Lola Giza W35 Erwitte |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Leticia Solakov W35 Erwitte |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 31/07 | Eva Bennemann W75 Hechingen |
1-2 | 18-16 | L |
Sara Cakarevic
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09 | Noemi Maines W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 04/09 | Giorgia Pedone W35 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Elena Milovanovic W35 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/09 | Antonia Stoyanov W35 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 26/08 | Maria Golovina W50 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 24/08 | Brandy Walker W50 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 23/08 | Havah Kaur Kaler W50 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 16/08 | Rada Zolotareva W75 Kursumlijska Banja Qual · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 09/08 | Yujia Huang W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 29/07 | Nadia Podoroska W100 Gran Canaria |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tena Lukas vs Sara Cakarevic?
Our model gives 54% to Tena Lukas, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.