Tennis · W35 Santa Margherita · 25/09, 12:00
Prediction: Vittoria Paganetti vs Camilla Gennaro
Team pages: Vittoria Paganetti · Camilla Gennaro
Prediction summary
Winner
Vittoria Paganetti
Camilla Gennaro
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Vittoria Paganetti
7-3 (W-L)
Camilla Gennaro
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Vittoria Paganetti
2–1
Camilla Gennaro
(3 last)
- 13 Nov2-1 20-17W
- 22 Oct2-1 19-19W
- 09 Aug0-2 5-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Vittoria Paganetti 1558 · Camilla Gennaro 1541
| Vittoria Paganetti | Camilla Gennaro | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 61% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Vittoria Paganetti 2–1 Camilla Gennaro (3).
- Note: Vittoria Paganetti makes many double faults (8.8/match).
Statistics
| Vittoria Paganetti | Camilla Gennaro | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 70% (10) | 80% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.7 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-8.5 | 10.9-8.9 |
| Aces | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 8.8 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 64.5% | 59.3% |
| Break % | 54.8% | 55.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
H2H · Vittoria Paganetti 2 – 1 Camilla Gennaro (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Vittoria Paganetti 2–1 Camilla Gennaro
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/11/24 ITF W35 Solarino | 2-1 | 20-17 | W |
| 22/10/24 W35 Santa Margherita | 2-1 | 19-19 | W |
| 09/08/22 ITF W15 Padova | 0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Vittoria Paganetti
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09 | Romane Longueville W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 23/09 | Oceane Babel W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 17/09 | Ilary Pistola W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 16/09 | Beatrice Stagno W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/08 | Felitsata Dorofeeva-Rybas W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 07/08 | Arina Bulatova W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/08 | Galena Krastenova W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 04/08 | Sofija Milenkovic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 11-4 | W |
| 01/08 | Rebecca Munk Mortensen W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 31/07 | Aya El Aouni W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Camilla Gennaro
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09 | Galatea Ferro W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/09 | Carlota Martinez Cirez W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/09 | Franziska Sziedat W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 17/09 | Briana Szabo W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 16/09 | Julia Stusek W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 01/09 | Paula Ormaechea W15 Fiano Romano |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/08 | Matilde Mariani W35 Trieste |
1-2 | 10-10 | L |
| 13/08 | Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur W35 Bydgoszcz |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 12/08 | Viola Turini W35 Bydgoszcz |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 11/08 | Tamara Sramkova W35 Bydgoszcz |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Vittoria Paganetti vs Camilla Gennaro?
Our model gives 57% to Vittoria Paganetti, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.