Tennis · W35 Santa Margherita · 25/09, 10:00
Prediction: Marie Mettraux vs Denise Valente
Team pages: Marie Mettraux · Denise Valente
Prediction summary
Winner
Marie Mettraux
Denise Valente
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Marie Mettraux
7-3 (W-L)
Denise Valente
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Marie Mettraux 1555 · Denise Valente 1531
| Marie Mettraux | Denise Valente | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 77% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Denise Valente makes many double faults (4.8/match).
Statistics
| Marie Mettraux | Denise Valente | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 80% (5) | 75% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.7 | 1.4-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-9.2 | 11-11 |
| Aces | 0.5 | 2 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 4.8 |
| 1st serve % | 58.5% | 64.9% |
| Break % | 51.2% | 55.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Marie Mettraux
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09 | Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 23/09 | Barbara Dessolis W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/09 | Tatsiana Sasnouskaya W15 Cap d'Agde |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 01/09 | Amahee Charrier W15 Cap d'Agde |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 27/08 | Aran Teixido Garcia W35 Trieste |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Laura Mair W35 Trieste |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 25/08 | Daphnee Mpetshi Perricard W35 Trieste |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/08 | Jessica Pieri W35 Bistrita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 20/08 | Patricia Georgiana Goina W35 Bistrita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/08 | Maria F Herazo Gonzalez W35 Bistrita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
Denise Valente
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09 | Anna Petkovic W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 23/09 | Franziska Sziedat W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 22/09 | Eleonora Alvisi W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 12-12 | W |
| 15/09 | Alessandra Fiorillo W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 01/09 | Linda Sevcikova W15 Fiano Romano |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 29/07 | Yuno Kitahara W35 Aldershot |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 27/07 | Amelie Brooks W35 Aldershot |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 26/07 | Leticia Romanova W35 Aldershot |
2-1 | 9-11 | W |
| 16/07 | Aspen Schuman W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 14/07 | Sana Garakani W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Marie Mettraux vs Denise Valente?
Our model gives 66% to Marie Mettraux, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.