Tennis · M25 Setubal · 24/09, 11:00
Prediction: Giorgio Tabacco vs Finn Murgett
Team pages: Giorgio Tabacco · Finn Murgett
Prediction summary
Winner
Giorgio Tabacco
Finn Murgett
Estimated games
20.1
Recent form · 10 last
Giorgio Tabacco
7-3 (W-L)
Finn Murgett
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Giorgio Tabacco 1567 · Finn Murgett 1587
| Giorgio Tabacco | Finn Murgett | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Giorgio Tabacco | Finn Murgett | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (3) | 100% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.6 | 1.6-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-7.5 | 11.4-7.6 |
| Aces | 1.7 | 1.5 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 3.5 |
| 1st serve % | 72.6% | 67.8% |
| Break % | 53.6% | 51.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Giorgio Tabacco
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09 | Georgii Kravchenko M25 Setubal |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/09 | Fausto Tabacco M25 Sintra |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 18/09 | John Echeverria M25 Sintra |
2-0 | 8-0 | W |
| 17/09 | Michael Agwi M25 Sintra |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 16/09 | Max Basing M25 Sintra |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 10/09 | Jack Anthrop M25 Sintra |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 09/09 | Salvador Monteiro M25 Sintra |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/09 | Thomas Faurel Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 31/08 | Ergi Kirkin Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/08 | Radoslav Shandarov Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Finn Murgett
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09 | Diogo Marques M25 Setubal |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 21/09 | Miguel Semedo M25 Setubal |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/09 | Robin Bertrand M25 Sintra |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 16/09 | Gian Luca Tanner M25 Sintra |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 14/09 | Valentin Vanta M25 Sintra |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/09 | Goncalo Marques M25 Sintra |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 10/09 | Ryan Colby M25 Sintra |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 09/09 | Diogo Marques M25 Sintra |
2-1 | 18-9 | W |
| 30/08 | Baltazar Wiger Nordas UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 29/08 | Rupert George UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Giorgio Tabacco vs Finn Murgett?
Our model gives 56% to Giorgio Tabacco, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.