Tennis · W35 Santa Margherita · 24/09, 09:30
Prediction: Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur vs Marie Mettraux
Team pages: Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur · Marie Mettraux
Prediction summary
Winner
Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur
Marie Mettraux
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur
8-2 (W-L)
Marie Mettraux
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur 1563 · Marie Mettraux 1533
| Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur | Marie Mettraux | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 88% | 12% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur | Marie Mettraux | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 75% (8) | 75% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.8 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.4-9.5 | 11.2-9.9 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 0.5 |
| Double faults | 1.5 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 58% | 59.5% |
| Break % | 44% | 49.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09 | Carla Giambelli W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 19/09 | Clara Burel WTA Valencia · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/09 | Andrea Lazaro Garcia WTA Valencia · Clay |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 16/09 | Francesca Curmi WTA Valencia · Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 15/09 | Charo Esquiva Banuls WTA Valencia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/09 | Dalila Spiteri WTA Valencia · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 13/09 | Neus Torner Sensano WTA Valencia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/09 | Ariana Geerlings W35 Reus · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 29/08 | Francesca Pace W50 Oldenzaal |
1-2 | 14-13 | L |
| 28/08 | Amandine Monnot W50 Oldenzaal |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Marie Mettraux
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09 | Barbara Dessolis W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/09 | Tatsiana Sasnouskaya W15 Cap d'Agde |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 01/09 | Amahee Charrier W15 Cap d'Agde |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 27/08 | Aran Teixido Garcia W35 Trieste |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Laura Mair W35 Trieste |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 25/08 | Daphnee Mpetshi Perricard W35 Trieste |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/08 | Jessica Pieri W35 Bistrita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 20/08 | Patricia Georgiana Goina W35 Bistrita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/08 | Maria F Herazo Gonzalez W35 Bistrita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 25/07 | Daphnee Mpetshi Perricard W15 Nogent-sur-Marne |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur vs Marie Mettraux?
Our model gives 73% to Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.