Tennis · W35 Santa Margherita · 24/09, 09:30
Prediction: Alena Kovackova vs Ilary Pistola
Team pages: Alena Kovackova · Ilary Pistola
Prediction summary
Winner
Alena Kovackova
Ilary Pistola
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Alena Kovackova
6-4 (W-L)
Ilary Pistola
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alena Kovackova 1532 · Ilary Pistola 1537
| Alena Kovackova | Ilary Pistola | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 81% | 19% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Ilary Pistola makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Alena Kovackova | Ilary Pistola | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 100% (1) | 63% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-10.1 | 11.3-10.7 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 0.2 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 4 |
| 1st serve % | 59.6% | 60.2% |
| Break % | 54.5% | 47.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alena Kovackova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09 | Tilwith Di Girolami W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 02/09 | Loes Ebeling Koning W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer |
0-2 | 6-10 | L |
| 26/08 | Eva Bennemann W50 Oldenzaal |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 25/08 | Maria Toma W50 Oldenzaal |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 24/08 | Laura Boehner W50 Oldenzaal |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 21/08 | Jana Kovackova W50 Prague |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 20/08 | Alicia Herrero Linana W50 Prague |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 19/08 | Beatrise Zeltina W50 Prague |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 17/08 | Eva Marie Voracek W50 Prague |
2-1 | 15-8 | W |
| 07/08 | Irene Burillo Escorihuela W75 Leipzig |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Ilary Pistola
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09 | Yuliana Lizarazo W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 19/09 | Marta Lombardini W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 18/09 | Oceane Babel W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 17/09 | Vittoria Paganetti W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 16/09 | Kolie Allen W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/07 | Lucia Bronzetti WTA Palermo · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Luna Vujovic W35 Torino |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Carla Giambelli W35 Torino |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 07/05 | Beatrise Zeltina W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-12 | L |
| 06/05 | Selena Janicijevic W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alena Kovackova vs Ilary Pistola?
Our model gives 67% to Alena Kovackova, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.