Tennis · M25 Setubal · 23/09, 17:30
Prediction: Francisco Rocha vs Salvador Monteiro
Team pages: Francisco Rocha · Salvador Monteiro
Prediction summary
Winner
Francisco Rocha
Salvador Monteiro
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Francisco Rocha
3-7 (W-L)
Salvador Monteiro
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Francisco Rocha 1470 · Salvador Monteiro 1419
| Francisco Rocha | Salvador Monteiro | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 88% | 12% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Francisco Rocha (rating 1470 vs 1419).
- Note: Francisco Rocha makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Francisco Rocha | Salvador Monteiro | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 20% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (2) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.3 | 0.5-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.5-11.6 | 6.9-10.9 |
| Aces | 3.8 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 4.3 | 1.8 |
| 1st serve % | 70.9% | 57.8% |
| Break % | 36.6% | 36.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Francisco Rocha
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09 | Benjamin Pietri M25 Sintra |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 11/09 | Jack Anthrop M25 Sintra |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 10/09 | Joao Dinis Silva M25 Sintra |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 08/09 | Julien Penzlin M25 Sintra |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/09 | Tiago Pereira Challenger Porto · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 12/08 | Tiago Cacao M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 18/07 | Gonzalo Bueno ATP Estoril · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 17/07 | Tiago Cacao M15 Castelo Branco |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 16/07 | Lucas Marionneau M15 Castelo Branco |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 15/07 | Matisse Farzam M15 Castelo Branco |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
Salvador Monteiro
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09 | Tyler Stice M25 Setubal |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 17/09 | Patrick Schoen M25 Sintra |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 15/09 | Peter Sychev M25 Sintra |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 09/09 | Giorgio Tabacco M25 Sintra |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 07/09 | Artur Carvalho Rocha M25 Sintra |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/08 | Alberto Barroso Campos M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Rodrigo Leal M15 Castelo Branco |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Rohan Mehra M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 19/05 | Matthew Rankin M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 10/05 | Laslo Djere Challenger Oeiras · Clay |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Francisco Rocha vs Salvador Monteiro?
Our model gives 74% to Francisco Rocha, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.