Tennis · W35 Santa Margherita · 24/09, 10:00
Prediction: Daria Yesypchuk vs Alisa Oktiabreva
Team pages: Daria Yesypchuk · Alisa Oktiabreva
Prediction summary
Winner
Daria Yesypchuk
Alisa Oktiabreva
Estimated games
19.8
Recent form · 10 last
Daria Yesypchuk
7-3 (W-L)
Alisa Oktiabreva
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Daria Yesypchuk 1531 · Alisa Oktiabreva 1603
| Daria Yesypchuk | Alisa Oktiabreva | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 12% | 88% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alisa Oktiabreva (rating 1531 vs 1603).
Statistics
| Daria Yesypchuk | Alisa Oktiabreva | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (6) | 89% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.8 | 1.6-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-7.7 | 11.2-7.4 |
| Aces | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 60.2% | 62.3% |
| Break % | 60.8% | 52% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Daria Yesypchuk
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09 | Giulia Paterno W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 17/09 | Matilde Paoletti W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 16/09 | Sara Milanese W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 11/09 | Lucia Cortez Llorca W35 Reus · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 10/09 | Merel Hoedt W35 Reus · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 08/09 | Aran Teixido Garcia W35 Reus · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/08 | Margaux Maquet W50 Oldenzaal |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 25/08 | Lian Tran W50 Oldenzaal |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/08 | Annika Barth W50 Oldenzaal |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/08 | Tessa Johanna Brockmann W35 Erwitte |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Alisa Oktiabreva
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09 | Sofia Shapatava W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 20/09 | Marta Lombardini W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 19/09 | Franziska Sziedat W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/09 | Matilde Paoletti W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 17/09 | Laura Boehner W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 16/09 | Mia Horvit W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/07 | Oceane Dodin WTA Prague · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/04 | Yue Yuan WTA Oeiras · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 21/04 | Francesca Curmi WTA Oeiras · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 20/04 | Ayana Akli WTA Oeiras · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Daria Yesypchuk vs Alisa Oktiabreva?
Our model gives 76% to Alisa Oktiabreva, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.