Tennis · W35 Santa Margherita · 24/09, 10:00
Prediction: Denise Valente vs Anna Petkovic
Team pages: Anna Petkovic
Prediction summary
Winner
Denise Valente
Anna Petkovic
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Denise Valente
3-7 (W-L)
Anna Petkovic
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Denise Valente 1502 · Anna Petkovic 1567
| Denise Valente | Anna Petkovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 21% | 79% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Anna Petkovic (rating 1502 vs 1567).
- Note: Denise Valente makes many double faults (4.5/match).
Statistics
| Denise Valente | Anna Petkovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (3) | 78% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.3 | 1.5-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.3-11.4 | 11.1-8.4 |
| Aces | 1.8 | 1 |
| Double faults | 4.5 | 3.8 |
| 1st serve % | 64.7% | 61.3% |
| Break % | 51.3% | 56.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Denise Valente
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09 | Franziska Sziedat W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 22/09 | Eleonora Alvisi W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 12-12 | W |
| 15/09 | Alessandra Fiorillo W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 01/09 | Linda Sevcikova W15 Fiano Romano |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 29/07 | Yuno Kitahara W35 Aldershot |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 27/07 | Amelie Brooks W35 Aldershot |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 26/07 | Leticia Romanova W35 Aldershot |
2-1 | 9-11 | W |
| 16/07 | Aspen Schuman W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 14/07 | Sana Garakani W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 08/07 | Chelsea Fontenel W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Anna Petkovic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09 | Angella Okutoyi W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/09 | Iva Ivanovic W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 17/09 | Oceane Babel W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 16/09 | Camilla Zanolini W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/09 | Noemi Maines W15 Viserba Di Rimini |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 05/09 | Giorgia Pedone W35 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 04/09 | Anastasija Cvetkovic W35 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 03/09 | Maria Golovina W35 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 12-13 | W |
| 02/09 | Natalija Senic W35 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 31/08 | Iva Ivanovic W35 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 10-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Denise Valente vs Anna Petkovic?
Our model gives 70% to Anna Petkovic, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.