Tennis · W50 Nanao · 24/09, 03:00

Prediction: Kurumi Tamura vs Michika Ozeki

Team pages: Kurumi Tamura · Michika Ozeki

Prediction summary
Winner
53% 47%
Kurumi Tamura Michika Ozeki
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Kurumi Tamura 5-5 (W-L)
LLWLWWLWLW
Michika Ozeki 4-6 (W-L)
LWLLLLWLWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kurumi Tamura 1492 · Michika Ozeki 1442
Kurumi TamuraMichika Ozeki
Our model57%43%
Market50%50%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kurumi Tamura (rating 1492 vs 1442).
  • Kurumi Tamura is in better form: 50% recent wins.

Statistics

Kurumi TamuraMichika Ozeki
Win %50%20%
Win % · Hard 43% (7) 25% (4)
Sets (G-P)1.1-1.21-1.7
Games (G-P)9.8-10.211.1-13.4
Aces0.31.1
Double faults23.8
1st serve %56.8%55.4%
Break %55.4%50.7%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.8

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kurumi Tamura

WLWLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
23/09 Jiangxue Han
W50 Nanao
2-0 12-7 W
24/06 Shiho Tsujioka
W15 Sapporo
0-2 7-12 L
24/06 Nana Kawagishi
W15 Sapporo
2-0 13-9 W
28/05 Nao Nishino
W15 Fukui · ~Hard
0-2 6-13 L
27/05 Ayaho Okude
W15 Fukui · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W
26/05 Himari Sato
W15 Fukui · ~Hard
2-1 10-8 W
18/05 Sakura Hosogi
W100 Takasaki · ~Hard
0-2 7-12 L
14/05 Eva Marie Desvignes
W15 Toyama · ~Hard
1-2 12-15 L
12/05 Tori Kinard
W15 Toyama · ~Hard
2-1 13-11 W
20/04 Mika Stojsavljevic
W100 Tokyo · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L

Michika Ozeki

LLLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
23/09 Yidi Yang
W50 Nanao
2-1 14-12 W
16/09 Eri Shimizu
W35 Kyoto
1-2 11-16 L
08/09 Ha Eum Lee
W15 Yeongwol
0-2 2-12 L
02/09 Eun Ji Lee
W15 Yeongwol
1-2 11-16 L
11/08 Duanrui Gao
W15 Tianjin
1-2 15-17 L
04/08 Yihan Qu
W15 Tianjin
0-2 2-12 L
14/07 Donna Le Roux
W15 Hillcrest · ~Hard
1-2 12-17 L
09/07 Jahnie Van Zyl
W35 Hillcrest · ~Hard
1-2 16-16 L
07/07 Milla Kotze
W35 Hillcrest · ~Hard
2-0 12-2 W
01/07 Marilouise Van Zyl
W15 Hillcrest · ~Hard
1-2 16-14 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kurumi Tamura vs Michika Ozeki?

Our model gives 53% to Kurumi Tamura, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.