Prediction: Mutsumi Uemura vs Hikaru Sato
Team pages: Mutsumi Uemura · Hikaru Sato
Prediction summary
Winner
Mutsumi Uemura
Hikaru Sato
Estimated games
23.5
Recent form · 10 last
Mutsumi Uemura
6-4 (W-L)
Hikaru Sato
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mutsumi Uemura 1551 · Hikaru Sato 1496
| Mutsumi Uemura | Hikaru Sato | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mutsumi Uemura (rating 1551 vs 1496).
Statistics
| Mutsumi Uemura | Hikaru Sato | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1 | 1.2-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.8-10.7 | 13.1-13 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 2.9 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 3.8 |
| 1st serve % | 64% | 65.3% |
| Break % | 53.8% | 41% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mutsumi Uemura
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Chihiro Muramatsu W50 Nanao |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 16/09 | Hina Inoue W35 Kyoto |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 15/09 | Miyu Nakashima W35 Kyoto |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 10/09 | Ha Eum Lee W15 Yeongwol |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Onyu Choi W15 Yeongwol |
2-1 | 19-13 | W |
| 01/09 | Dabin Kim W15 Yeongwol |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/08 | Amy Stevens W15 Brisbane |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 01/08 | Chia Yi Tsao W15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 31/07 | Sarah Mildren W15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 30/07 | Lily Taylor W15 Brisbane |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
Hikaru Sato
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09 | Kisa Yoshioka W50 Nanao |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 16/09 | Natsuki Yoshimoto W35 Kyoto |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 07/09 | Kayo Nishimura W50 Guiyang |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 06/09 | Yuno Kitahara W50 Guiyang |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 31/08 | Jiaqi Wang W75 Tianjin |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 30/08 | Yingqun Sun W75 Tianjin |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 12/08 | Julia Avdeeva W35 Aldershot |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Indianna Spink W35 Aldershot |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 06/08 | Amelia Rajecki W35 Roehampton · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 05/08 | Mao Mushika W35 Roehampton · ~Hard |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mutsumi Uemura vs Hikaru Sato?
Our model gives 54% to Hikaru Sato, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.