Tennis · W35 Santa Margherita · 23/09, 09:30
Prediction: Federica Bilardo vs Martina Colmegna
Team pages: Martina Colmegna
Prediction summary
Winner
Federica Bilardo
Martina Colmegna
Estimated games
20.3
Recent form · 10 last
Federica Bilardo
3-7 (W-L)
Martina Colmegna
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Federica Bilardo
3–1
Martina Colmegna
(4 last)
- 28 May2-0 12-5W
- 07 Sept0-2 6-12L
- 31 Oct2-0 12-6W
- 20 Jun2-0 12-4W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Federica Bilardo 1457 · Martina Colmegna 1504
| Federica Bilardo | Martina Colmegna | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 21% | 79% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Martina Colmegna (rating 1457 vs 1504).
- Head-to-head: Federica Bilardo 3–1 Martina Colmegna (4).
Statistics
| Federica Bilardo | Martina Colmegna | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 29% (7) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.6-1.5 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 7.8-10.6 | 10.4-9.7 |
| Aces | 0.5 | 0.4 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 1 |
| 1st serve % | 51.2% | 58.4% |
| Break % | 52.3% | 45.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.3
H2H · Federica Bilardo 3 – 1 Martina Colmegna (4)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Federica Bilardo 3–1 Martina Colmegna
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/05/22 W15 Antalya | 2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/09/20 ITF W25 Tarvisio | 0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 31/10/18 ITF Women Santa Margherita | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/06/17 ITF Women Sassuolo | 2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Federica Bilardo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Agnese Gentili W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/09 | Celeste Faustini W15 Viserba Di Rimini |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 07/09 | Carlotta Bassotti Others · Hard |
2-0 | 10-5 | W |
| 01/09 | Eleonora Alvisi W15 Fiano Romano |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Julie Pastikova W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 22/06 | Iga Piotrowska W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 16/06 | Gabriela Ce W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 09/06 | Dunja Maric W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 02/06 | Maria Garcia Cid W15 Ontinyent · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-11 | L |
| 26/05 | Julia Adams W15 Szentendre · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
Martina Colmegna
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09 | Mia Ristic WTA Ljubljana · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 14/09 | Gabriella Price WTA Ljubljana · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/08 | Amelie Justine Hejtmanek W35 Trieste |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/08 | Marianne Argyrokastriti W35 Trieste |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 22/07 | Nuria Brancaccio W75 Cordenons |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Sofia Rocchetti W75 Cordenons |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 14/07 | Barbora Palicova WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 12/07 | Barbora Palicova WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 08/07 | Jenny Lim W75 The Hague |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Nellie Taraba Wallberg W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Federica Bilardo vs Martina Colmegna?
Our model gives 69% to Martina Colmegna, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.