Tennis · W35 Santa Margherita · 23/09, 09:30

Prediction: Galatea Ferro vs Aurora Nosei

Team pages: Galatea Ferro · Aurora Nosei

Prediction summary
Winner
52% 48%
Galatea Ferro Aurora Nosei
Estimated games
19.8
Recent form · 10 last
Galatea Ferro 5-5 (W-L)
WLLWLWWLLW
Aurora Nosei 5-5 (W-L)
WLLLWWLWWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Galatea Ferro 1476 · Aurora Nosei 1499
Galatea FerroAurora Nosei
Our model47%53%
Market56%44%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Galatea Ferro makes many double faults (4.2/match).

Statistics

Galatea FerroAurora Nosei
Win %40%50%
Win % · Clay 33% (3) 33% (3)
Sets (G-P)0.9-1.51-1.1
Games (G-P)8.5-11.78.2-8.3
Aces0.90.1
Double faults4.22.4
1st serve %52.6%54.9%
Break %52.6%49.5%
Estimated total games (ours) 19.8

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Galatea Ferro

WWLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
22/09 Isabel Skoog
W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay
2-1 13-12 W
24/08 Gabriela Ce
W35 Trieste
0-2 2-10 L
20/08 Warda Ait El Bachir
W15 Wanfercee-Baulet
0-2 9-13 L
19/08 Chrystal Lopez
W15 Wanfercee-Baulet
2-1 17-16 W
18/08 Maja Michna
W15 Wanfercee-Baulet
2-0 13-6 W
29/07 Stefania Bojica
W15 Rogaska Slatina
0-2 6-12 L
28/07 Ela Plosnik
W15 Rogaska Slatina
2-1 8-8 W
20/07 Mariia Masiianskaia
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
0-2 3-12 L
14/07 Gaia Maduzzi
W35 Torino
0-2 4-12 L
17/06 Sofia Rocchetti
W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay
1-2 10-16 L

Aurora Nosei

WLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
03/09 Marie Villet
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 1-10 L
02/09 Meshkatolzahra Safi
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
01/09 Sofia Alekseeva
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-1 11-10 W
28/08 Sofia Camila Rojas
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L
27/08 Eloise Newberry
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-2 W
26/08 Sana Garakani
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
21/07 Darina Matvejeva
W15 Cluj Napoca
0-2 3-12 L
09/06 Sofia Rocchetti
W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay
0-2 8-12 L
05/06 Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni
W15 Focsani · ~Clay
0-2 5-13 L
04/06 Andreea Diana Soare
W15 Focsani · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Galatea Ferro vs Aurora Nosei?

Our model gives 52% to Galatea Ferro, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.