Tennis · W35 Santa Margherita · 23/09, 10:00
Prediction: Daria Yesypchuk vs Giulia Paterno
Team pages: Daria Yesypchuk · Giulia Paterno
Prediction summary
Winner
Daria Yesypchuk
Giulia Paterno
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Daria Yesypchuk
7-3 (W-L)
Giulia Paterno
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Daria Yesypchuk 1522 · Giulia Paterno 1495
| Daria Yesypchuk | Giulia Paterno | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 88% | 12% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Daria Yesypchuk | Giulia Paterno | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (5) | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-9 | 9.2-9.3 |
| Aces | 2.1 | 0.1 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 63% | 56.3% |
| Break % | 61.3% | 57.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Daria Yesypchuk
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/09 | Matilde Paoletti W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 16/09 | Sara Milanese W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 11/09 | Lucia Cortez Llorca W35 Reus · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 10/09 | Merel Hoedt W35 Reus · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 08/09 | Aran Teixido Garcia W35 Reus · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/08 | Margaux Maquet W50 Oldenzaal |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 25/08 | Lian Tran W50 Oldenzaal |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/08 | Annika Barth W50 Oldenzaal |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/08 | Tessa Johanna Brockmann W35 Erwitte |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Madelief Hageman W35 Erwitte |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
Giulia Paterno
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Sara Milanese W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/04 | Briana Szabo W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 17/03 | Martina Cerbo W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-9 | L |
| 10/03 | Gina Marie Dittmann W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 09/03 | Mia Chudejova W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/03 | Alexandra Biot W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 05/03 | Irene Burillo Escorihuela W35 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-11 | L |
| 03/03 | Daniel Hefner W35 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/01 | Dalila Spiteri W35 Buenos Aires |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 19/01 | Ana Grubor W35 Buenos Aires |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Daria Yesypchuk vs Giulia Paterno?
Our model gives 72% to Daria Yesypchuk, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.