Tennis · W35 Santa Margherita · 23/09, 10:00
Prediction: Sara Cakarevic vs Noemi Maines
Team pages: Sara Cakarevic · Noemi Maines
Prediction summary
Winner
Sara Cakarevic
Noemi Maines
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Sara Cakarevic
5-5 (W-L)
Noemi Maines
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sara Cakarevic 1511 · Noemi Maines 1517
| Sara Cakarevic | Noemi Maines | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 77% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Noemi Maines makes many double faults (6/match).
Statistics
| Sara Cakarevic | Noemi Maines | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (8) | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.6-8.4 | 11.7-11.5 |
| Aces | 1.6 | 0.6 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 6 |
| 1st serve % | 59% | 52.6% |
| Break % | 47.3% | 53.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sara Cakarevic
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09 | Giorgia Pedone W35 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Elena Milovanovic W35 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/09 | Antonia Stoyanov W35 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 26/08 | Maria Golovina W50 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 24/08 | Brandy Walker W50 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 23/08 | Havah Kaur Kaler W50 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 16/08 | Rada Zolotareva W75 Kursumlijska Banja Qual · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 09/08 | Yujia Huang W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 29/07 | Nadia Podoroska W100 Gran Canaria |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 27/07 | Elena Milovanovic W100 Gran Canaria |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Noemi Maines
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Barbara Dessolis W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 11-7 | W |
| 16/09 | Briana Szabo W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 10/09 | Marta Lombardini W15 Viserba Di Rimini |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 09/09 | Anna Petkovic W15 Viserba Di Rimini |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 06/09 | Federica Trevisan W15 Fiano Romano |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 05/09 | Agnese Gentili W15 Fiano Romano |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 04/09 | Carolina Gasparini W15 Fiano Romano |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 03/09 | Eleonora Alvisi W15 Fiano Romano |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 01/09 | Maddalena Giordano W15 Fiano Romano |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 11/08 | Ilay Yoruk W15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sara Cakarevic vs Noemi Maines?
Our model gives 64% to Sara Cakarevic, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.