Tennis · W35 Santa Margherita · 23/09, 10:00
Prediction: Marie Mettraux vs Barbara Dessolis
Team pages: Marie Mettraux · Barbara Dessolis
Prediction summary
Winner
Marie Mettraux
Barbara Dessolis
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Marie Mettraux
5-5 (W-L)
Barbara Dessolis
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Marie Mettraux 1528 · Barbara Dessolis 1427
| Marie Mettraux | Barbara Dessolis | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 64% | 36% |
| Market | 86% | 14% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Marie Mettraux (rating 1528 vs 1427).
- Marie Mettraux is in better form: 60% recent wins.
Statistics
| Marie Mettraux | Barbara Dessolis | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 20% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (3) | 29% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 0.8-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-10.6 | 8.4-11.1 |
| Aces | 0.5 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 58.2% | 55.8% |
| Break % | 47.5% | 45% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Marie Mettraux
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | Tatsiana Sasnouskaya W15 Cap d'Agde |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 01/09 | Amahee Charrier W15 Cap d'Agde |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 27/08 | Aran Teixido Garcia W35 Trieste |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Laura Mair W35 Trieste |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 25/08 | Daphnee Mpetshi Perricard W35 Trieste |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/08 | Jessica Pieri W35 Bistrita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 20/08 | Patricia Georgiana Goina W35 Bistrita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/08 | Maria F Herazo Gonzalez W35 Bistrita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 25/07 | Daphnee Mpetshi Perricard W15 Nogent-sur-Marne |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 24/07 | Sophia Biolay W15 Nogent-sur-Marne |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
Barbara Dessolis
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Noemi Maines W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 7-11 | L |
| 16/09 | Viola Turini W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 15/09 | Chiara Fornasieri W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 8-7 | L |
| 09/09 | Eva Marie Voracek W15 Viserba Di Rimini |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Sara Mikaca W15 Rogaska Slatina |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 14/07 | Romane Longueville W15 Krsko |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 20/05 | Aurora Nosei W15 Grado · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 07/05 | Laura Hietaranta W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/05 | Lingling Zhu W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 05/05 | Carlotta Bassotti W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Marie Mettraux vs Barbara Dessolis?
Our model gives 76% to Marie Mettraux, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.