Tennis · W50 Nanao · 23/09, 03:00

Prediction: Eri Shimizu vs Chia Yi Tsao

Team pages: Eri Shimizu · Chia Yi Tsao

Prediction summary
Winner
48% 52%
Eri Shimizu Chia Yi Tsao
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Eri Shimizu 4-6 (W-L)
WLWLWLLLWL
Chia Yi Tsao 7-3 (W-L)
WLWLWWWWLW
Head-to-head
Eri Shimizu 1–2 Chia Yi Tsao (3 last)
  • 22 Jun1-2 11-14L
  • 14 Jun0-2 7-13L
  • 05 Dec2-0 12-6W
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Eri Shimizu 1500 · Chia Yi Tsao 1524
Eri ShimizuChia Yi Tsao
Our model47%53%
Market49%51%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Head-to-head: Eri Shimizu 1–2 Chia Yi Tsao (3).

Statistics

Eri ShimizuChia Yi Tsao
Win %50%50%
Win % · Hard 50% (4)
Sets (G-P)1.2-1.21.2-1
Games (G-P)11.3-119.8-8.3
Aces0.90.7
Double faults22.6
1st serve %64.2%63.2%
Break %43.9%45.2%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.4

H2H · Eri Shimizu 12 Chia Yi Tsao (3)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Eri Shimizu 12 Chia Yi Tsao

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DateSetsGamesRes.
22/06/23
ITF W25 Tainan
1-211-14L
14/06/23
ITF W25 Tainan
0-27-13L
05/12/22
ITF W25 Monastir
2-012-6W

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Eri Shimizu

WLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
18/09 Jia-Jing Lu
W35 Kyoto
0-2 3-12 L
17/09 Jiangxue Han
W35 Kyoto
2-0 12-4 W
16/09 Michika Ozeki
W35 Kyoto
2-1 16-11 W
07/09 Sijia Wei
W50 Guiyang
1-2 13-18 L
06/09 Patcharin Cheapchandej
W50 Guiyang
2-1 15-13 W
30/08 Valeria Savinykh
W75 Tianjin
1-2 15-17 L
18/06 Misaki Matsuda
W35 Taipei · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L
17/06 Nagi Hanatani
W35 Taipei · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W
12/06 Mayuka Aikawa
W15 Tokyo · ~Hard
0-2 9-13 L
11/06 Nanari Katsumi
W15 Tokyo · ~Hard
2-0 12-7 W

Chia Yi Tsao

WWLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
22/09 Miyu Nakashima
W50 Nanao
2-0 12-2 W
15/09 Hiromi Abe
W35 Kyoto
0-2 4-12 L
12/09 Yujin Kim
W15 Yeongwol
1-2 12-15 L
11/09 Thasaporn Naklo
W15 Yeongwol
2-0 13-5 W
10/09 Chenting Zhu
W15 Yeongwol
2-0 12-4 W
08/09 Min Young Choi
W15 Yeongwol
2-0 12-4 W
03/09 Naho Sato
W15 Yeongwol
0-2 5-12 L
01/09 Seojin Lee
W15 Yeongwol
2-0 12-3 W
18/08 Na Ri Kim
W15 Tianjin
0-2 6-12 L
13/08 Yushan Shao
W15 Tianjin
1-2 10-14 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Eri Shimizu vs Chia Yi Tsao?

Our model gives 52% to Chia Yi Tsao, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.