Tennis · W50 Nanao · 23/09, 03:00

Prediction: Tiana Tian Deng vs Yuno Kitahara

Team pages: Tiana Tian Deng · Yuno Kitahara

Prediction summary
Winner
65% 35%
Tiana Tian Deng Yuno Kitahara
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Tiana Tian Deng 7-3 (W-L)
WWLWLWWLWW
Yuno Kitahara 2-8 (W-L)
LWLLLLLLWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Tiana Tian Deng 1524 · Yuno Kitahara 1417
Tiana Tian DengYuno Kitahara
Our model65%35%
Market65%35%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tiana Tian Deng (rating 1524 vs 1417).
  • Tiana Tian Deng is in better form: 60% recent wins.
  • Note: Tiana Tian Deng makes many double faults (4.2/match).

Statistics

Tiana Tian DengYuno Kitahara
Win %60%20%
Win % · Hard 50% (2) 0% (2)
Sets (G-P)1.4-10.5-1.6
Games (G-P)11.8-10.87.3-11.4
Aces2.60.8
Double faults4.21.8
1st serve %66.3%57.3%
Break %45.5%25.2%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.4

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Tiana Tian Deng

WWLWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
22/09 Sera Nishimoto
W50 Nanao
2-1 17-11 W
21/09 Yuna Sugiyama
W50 Nanao
2-0 12-5 W
17/09 Natsuki Yoshimoto
W35 Kyoto
1-2 12-15 L
16/09 Hiroko Kuwata
W35 Kyoto
2-0 12-8 W
15/09 Kurea Hayasaka
W35 Kyoto
2-1 14-12 W
20/08 Peangtarn Plipuech
W15 Tianjin
0-2 6-12 L
18/08 Kamonwan Yodpetch
W15 Tianjin
2-0 12-6 W
06/07 Kaitlin Quevedo
WTA Bastad · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
25/06 Jing-Jing Lu
W15 Maanshan · ~Hard
1-2 15-18 L
24/06 Yuhan Wang
W15 Maanshan · ~Hard
2-0 13-9 W

Yuno Kitahara

LLLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
17/09 Ena Shibahara
W35 Kyoto
0-2 3-12 L
15/09 Ikumi Yamazaki
W35 Kyoto
2-0 12-7 W
06/09 Hikaru Sato
W50 Guiyang
0-2 5-12 L
30/08 Jiaqi Wang
W75 Tianjin
0-2 5-12 L
26/08 Yingqun Sun
W15 Tianjin
1-2 15-16 L
11/08 Alana Smith
W35 Aldershot
0-2 7-13 L
04/08 Allegra Korpanec Davies
W35 Roehampton · ~Hard
0-2 6-13 L
30/07 Vaidehee Chaudhari
W35 Aldershot
0-2 6-12 L
29/07 Denise Valente
W35 Aldershot
2-0 12-5 W
24/06 Thasaporn Naklo
W35 Taipei · ~Hard
0-2 2-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tiana Tian Deng vs Yuno Kitahara?

Our model gives 65% to Tiana Tian Deng, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.