Tennis · UTR Pro Kawaguchi · 23/09, 02:00
Prediction: Kotaro Mochizuki vs Masaki Ishikawa
Team pages: Kotaro Mochizuki · Masaki Ishikawa
Prediction summary
Winner
Kotaro Mochizuki
Masaki Ishikawa
Estimated games
19
Recent form · 10 last
Kotaro Mochizuki
4-6 (W-L)
Masaki Ishikawa
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kotaro Mochizuki 1516 · Masaki Ishikawa 1485
| Kotaro Mochizuki | Masaki Ishikawa | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Kotaro Mochizuki | Masaki Ishikawa | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 44% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1 | 0.8-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.3-9.2 | 6-8.7 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 3.7 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 64.7% | 55% |
| Break % | 55% | 32.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kotaro Mochizuki
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Kenta Kawada UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 05/09 | Taiyo Uenoyama UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/09 | Ryotaro Matsumura UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 02/09 | Jacob Kailiang Shen UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/09 | Hong-Lin Fu UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 31/08 | Alexey Shtengelov UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 16/08 | Yakumo Motokura UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 15/08 | Yuki Karatsu UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/08 | Haru Kawanaka UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Kanata Ozaki UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Masaki Ishikawa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Mirgiiaz Mirdzhaliev UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 31/08 | Riku Takahata M25 Urayasu |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Thanaphat Boosarawongse M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-1 | 2-6 | L |
| 09/07 | James Van Herzeele M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Tianhui Zhang M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 10-4 | W |
| 07/07 | Minghui Zhang M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 8-7 | W |
| 21/02 | Naoto Tomizawa UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 19/02 | Katsutoshi Suzuki UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/02 | Ryotaro Matsumura UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/02 | Taketo Takamisawa UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kotaro Mochizuki vs Masaki Ishikawa?
Our model gives 57% to Kotaro Mochizuki, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.