Tennis · UTR Pro Kawaguchi · 04/10, 02:00
Prediction: Hunter Heck vs Ryota Tanuma
Team pages: Hunter Heck · Ryota Tanuma
Prediction summary
Winner
Hunter Heck
Ryota Tanuma
Estimated games
19.9
Recent form · 10 last
Hunter Heck
9-1 (W-L)
Ryota Tanuma
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Hunter Heck
2–1
Ryota Tanuma
(3 last)
- 25 Sept2-0 12-5W
- 24 Jun0-2 8-13L
- 05 Mar2-0 12-4W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hunter Heck 1619 · Ryota Tanuma 1578
| Hunter Heck | Ryota Tanuma | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hunter Heck (rating 1619 vs 1578).
- Head-to-head: Hunter Heck 2–1 Ryota Tanuma (3).
Statistics
| Hunter Heck | Ryota Tanuma | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 90% (10) | 75% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.9-0.3 | 1.5-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.6-7.1 | 11.2-7.9 |
| Aces | 1.7 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 74.3% | 67.3% |
| Break % | 64.3% | 48.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.9
H2H · Hunter Heck 2 – 1 Ryota Tanuma (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Hunter Heck 2–1 Ryota Tanuma
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09/26 UTR Pro Kawaguchi | 2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/06/26 UTR Pro Kawaguchi | 0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 05/03/26 UTR Pro Kawaguchi | 2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hunter Heck
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | Kotaro Mochizuki UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/10 | Natsuki Yamamoto UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/09 | Ryota Tanuma UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/09 | Lachlan King UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/09 | Ilia Simakin Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 18/09 | Matthew Dellavedova Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/09 | Luka Pavlovic Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 15/09 | Khumoyun Sultanov Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/09 | S D Prajwal Dev Challenger Phan Thiet Qual · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/09 | Ethan Cook Challenger Phan Thiet Qual · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Ryota Tanuma
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | Ryotaro Matsumura UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/10 | Yuga Tashiro UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 27/09 | Corban Crowther UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 25/09 | Hunter Heck UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 10/09 | Jerry Roddick M25 Sapporo |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 09/09 | Naoya Honda M25 Sapporo |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 07/09 | Mao Takada M25 Sapporo |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 04/09 | Naoki Nakagawa M25 Urayasu |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Hikaru Shiraishi M25 Urayasu |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/09 | Yuta Kawahashi M25 Urayasu |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hunter Heck vs Ryota Tanuma?
Our model gives 56% to Hunter Heck, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.