Tennis · UTR Pro Kawaguchi · 03/10, 03:30
Prediction: Natsuki Yamamoto vs Corban Crowther
Team pages: Natsuki Yamamoto · Corban Crowther
Prediction summary
Winner
Natsuki Yamamoto
Corban Crowther
Estimated games
19.9
Recent form · 10 last
Natsuki Yamamoto
7-3 (W-L)
Corban Crowther
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Natsuki Yamamoto 1573 · Corban Crowther 1489
| Natsuki Yamamoto | Corban Crowther | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 25% | 75% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Natsuki Yamamoto (rating 1573 vs 1489).
- Natsuki Yamamoto is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Natsuki Yamamoto makes many double faults (5/match).
Statistics
| Natsuki Yamamoto | Corban Crowther | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (10) | 50% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.7 | 0.8-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-9.2 | 8.8-8.9 |
| Aces | 1 | 2.4 |
| Double faults | 5 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 67.6% | 71.6% |
| Break % | 38.7% | 36.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Natsuki Yamamoto
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/10 | Hunter Heck UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 01/10 | Mirgiiaz Mirdzhaliev UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/10 | Seiya Nakanishi UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 30/09 | Kenta Kawada UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 13-9 | W |
| 27/09 | Lachlan King UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 25/09 | Wulfrano Martinez Mora Esdras UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/09 | Naoki Nakagawa UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 24/09 | Raffael Gasanov UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 24/09 | Takumi Katsuda UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 22/09 | Taki Adachi UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Corban Crowther
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/10 | Kotaro Mochizuki UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 27/09 | Ryota Tanuma UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 25/09 | Naoki Nakagawa UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 25/09 | Wulfrano Martinez Mora Esdras UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/09 | Pablo Perez Ramos M15 Bali |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 31/08 | Nick Beamish M15 Bali |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 16/08 | Kai Milburn UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 15/08 | Keishi Hashimoto UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/08 | Manato Uchida UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 14/08 | Christopher Kosei Ono UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Natsuki Yamamoto vs Corban Crowther?
Our model gives 58% to Corban Crowther, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.