Tennis · UTR Pro Kawaguchi · 03/10, 02:00
Prediction: Hunter Heck vs Kotaro Mochizuki
Team pages: Hunter Heck · Kotaro Mochizuki
Prediction summary
Winner
Hunter Heck
Kotaro Mochizuki
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Hunter Heck
8-2 (W-L)
Kotaro Mochizuki
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hunter Heck 1591 · Kotaro Mochizuki 1588
| Hunter Heck | Kotaro Mochizuki | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 83% | 17% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Hunter Heck | Kotaro Mochizuki | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (10) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.5 | 1.6-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-7.7 | 12.4-9.2 |
| Aces | 2.5 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 1.5 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 73.5% | 66.6% |
| Break % | 46.5% | 48.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hunter Heck
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/10 | Natsuki Yamamoto UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/09 | Ryota Tanuma UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/09 | Lachlan King UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/09 | Ilia Simakin Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 18/09 | Matthew Dellavedova Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/09 | Luka Pavlovic Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 15/09 | Khumoyun Sultanov Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/09 | S D Prajwal Dev Challenger Phan Thiet Qual · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/09 | Ethan Cook Challenger Phan Thiet Qual · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/09 | Aditya Vishal Balsekar Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Kotaro Mochizuki
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/10 | Corban Crowther UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/10 | Wulfrano Martinez Mora Esdras UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 30/09 | Yakumo Motokura UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 30/09 | Abdumalik Kamalov UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 24/09 | Mirgiiaz Mirdzhaliev UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/09 | Masaki Ishikawa UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 22/09 | Kenta Kawada UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 05/09 | Taiyo Uenoyama UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/09 | Ryotaro Matsumura UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 02/09 | Jacob Kailiang Shen UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hunter Heck vs Kotaro Mochizuki?
Our model gives 68% to Hunter Heck, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.