Tennis · UTR Pro Kawaguchi · 03/10, 02:00
Prediction: Kenta Kawada vs Shotaro Yamamoto
Team pages: Kenta Kawada · Shotaro Yamamoto
Prediction summary
Winner
Kenta Kawada
Shotaro Yamamoto
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Kenta Kawada
3-7 (W-L)
Shotaro Yamamoto
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kenta Kawada 1447 · Shotaro Yamamoto 1523
| Kenta Kawada | Shotaro Yamamoto | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Shotaro Yamamoto (rating 1447 vs 1523).
- Shotaro Yamamoto is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Kenta Kawada makes many double faults (4.5/match).
Statistics
| Kenta Kawada | Shotaro Yamamoto | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 30% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.4 | 1.2-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-11.2 | 9.7-9.4 |
| Aces | 1.8 | 2.1 |
| Double faults | 4.5 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 62.5% | 61.4% |
| Break % | 38% | 52.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kenta Kawada
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/10 | Abdumalik Kamalov UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 01/10 | Seiya Nakanishi UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 30/09 | Natsuki Yamamoto UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
1-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 27/09 | Mirgiiaz Mirdzhaliev UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
1-2 | 17-17 | L |
| 27/09 | Abdumalik Kamalov UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/09 | Taki Adachi UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 24/09 | Masaki Ishikawa UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Mirgiiaz Mirdzhaliev UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/09 | Kotaro Mochizuki UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 15/08 | Kanata Ozaki UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
Shotaro Yamamoto
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/10 | Sota Kambara UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/10 | Yuga Tashiro UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Kirill Kistanov UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 28/09 | Lachlan King UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/08 | Haru Kawanaka UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/08 | Taketo Takamisawa UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 14/08 | Kai Milburn UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Riku Higashi UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 10/08 | Yakumo Motokura UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 22/04 | Niels Leth Jargin UTR Pro Yokohama · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kenta Kawada vs Shotaro Yamamoto?
Our model gives 64% to Shotaro Yamamoto, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.