Tennis · M25 Setubal · 23/09, 11:00
Prediction: Joao Dinis Silva vs Philip Henning
Team pages: Joao Dinis Silva · Philip Henning
Prediction summary
Winner
Joao Dinis Silva
Philip Henning
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Joao Dinis Silva
3-7 (W-L)
Philip Henning
9-1 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Joao Dinis Silva 1451 · Philip Henning 1603
| Joao Dinis Silva | Philip Henning | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 29% | 71% |
| Market | 12% | 88% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Philip Henning (rating 1451 vs 1603).
- Philip Henning is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Joao Dinis Silva | Philip Henning | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (2) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.5 | 1.6-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.3-11.3 | 11.8-8.1 |
| Aces | 1 | 4.1 |
| Double faults | 3 | 1.8 |
| 1st serve % | 64% | 75.9% |
| Break % | 41.8% | 45% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Joao Dinis Silva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09 | Joao Deus M25 Setubal |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/09 | Michael Agwi M25 Sintra |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 10/09 | Francisco Rocha M25 Sintra |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Rafael De Alba M25 Sintra |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/08 | Fabrizio Andaloro M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 11/08 | Dan Added M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Rafael Izquierdo Luque M15 Castelo Branco |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 02/07 | Tiago Cacao M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Dominique Rolland M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 24/06 | Fabrizio Andaloro M25 Porto |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Philip Henning
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/08 | Rodrigo Fernandes M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 20/08 | Diogo Coelho M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/08 | Alexander Watanabe Eriksson M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 16/08 | Dan Added M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 15/08 | Tristan McCormick M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 14/08 | Pavel Lagutin M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 13/08 | Tiago Cacao M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 12/08 | Bernardo Munk Mesa M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 04/08 | Maks Kasnikowski Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Martin Krumich Challenger Liberec · Clay |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Joao Dinis Silva vs Philip Henning?
Our model gives 80% to Philip Henning, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.