Tennis · M25 Setubal · 22/09, 12:00
Prediction: Joao Domingues vs Rafael Izquierdo Luque
Team pages: Joao Domingues · Rafael Izquierdo Luque
Prediction summary
Winner
Joao Domingues
Rafael Izquierdo Luque
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Joao Domingues
3-7 (W-L)
Rafael Izquierdo Luque
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Joao Domingues
1–0
Rafael Izquierdo Luque
(1 last)
- 13 Jun2-0 12-4W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Joao Domingues 1482 · Rafael Izquierdo Luque 1434
| Joao Domingues | Rafael Izquierdo Luque | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Joao Domingues (rating 1482 vs 1434).
- Head-to-head: Joao Domingues 1–0 Rafael Izquierdo Luque (1).
Statistics
| Joao Domingues | Rafael Izquierdo Luque | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (5) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.4 | 0.9-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-12.2 | 9.6-11 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 1.4 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 64.3% | 59% |
| Break % | 48.7% | 49% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
H2H · Joao Domingues 1 – 0 Rafael Izquierdo Luque (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Joao Domingues 1–0 Rafael Izquierdo Luque
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/06/26 M25 Martos | 2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Joao Domingues
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09 | Julien Penzlin M25 Sintra |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 18/07 | Timofey Skatov ATP Estoril · Clay |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 15/07 | Goncalo Marques M15 Castelo Branco |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Fabrizio Andaloro M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 25/06 | Tiago Torres M25 Porto |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Maxwell McKennon M25 Porto |
2-1 | 14-16 | W |
| 18/06 | Mario Gonzalez Fernandez M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 17/06 | Tiago Cacao M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/06 | Pablo Martinez Gomez M25 Martos · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 13/06 | Rafael Izquierdo Luque M25 Martos · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Rafael Izquierdo Luque
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Maxime Janvier Challenger Porto · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Matias Reyniak M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 13/08 | Pavel Lagutin M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
0-2 | 3-9 | L |
| 12/08 | Matias Reyniak M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 03/08 | Alejo Sanchez Quilez M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 17/07 | Pablo Perez Ramos M15 Castelo Branco |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Goncalo Da Rosa Castro M15 Castelo Branco |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/07 | Joao Dinis Silva M15 Castelo Branco |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 01/07 | Rodrigo Fernandes M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 23/06 | Diogo Morais M25 Porto |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Joao Domingues vs Rafael Izquierdo Luque?
Our model gives 56% to Joao Domingues, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.