Tennis · M25 Setubal · 22/09, 13:30

Prediction: Robin Bertrand vs Tiago Cacao

Team pages: Robin Bertrand · Tiago Cacao

Prediction summary
Winner
56% 44%
Robin Bertrand Tiago Cacao
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Robin Bertrand 8-2 (W-L)
WWWWWWLWWL
Tiago Cacao 8-2 (W-L)
WWWWWWWWLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Robin Bertrand 1581 · Tiago Cacao 1589
Robin BertrandTiago Cacao
Our model49%51%
Market63%38%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Robin BertrandTiago Cacao
Win %70%70%
Win % · Hard 67% (3)
Sets (G-P)1.6-0.61.6-0.7
Games (G-P)11.3-8.712.7-9
Aces2.21.9
Double faults2.62.9
1st serve %68.4%69%
Break %60.1%59.4%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.5

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Robin Bertrand

WLWWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
18/09 Patrick Schoen
M25 Sintra
1-2 12-14 L
17/09 Finn Murgett
M25 Sintra
2-0 13-5 W
16/09 Diogo Morais
M25 Sintra
2-0 12-8 W
11/09 Mark Lajal
Challenger Cassis · Hard
0-2 3-12 L
10/09 Raphael Perot
Challenger Cassis · Hard
2-0 12-1 W
08/09 Mathieu Scaglia
Challenger Cassis · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
06/09 Raphael Perot
M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre
1-2 11-16 L
05/09 John Echeverria
M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre
2-0 13-8 W
04/09 Matisse Bobichon
M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre
2-0 12-7 W
03/09 Kenny de Schepper
M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre
2-0 13-10 W

Tiago Cacao

LWWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
19/09 Patrick Schoen
M25 Sintra
0-2 10-14 L
18/09 Alec Deckers
M25 Sintra
2-1 18-11 W
17/09 Tiago Torres
M25 Sintra
2-0 12-8 W
16/09 Benjamin Thomas George
M25 Sintra
2-0 13-6 W
11/09 Fausto Tabacco
M25 Sintra
1-2 14-17 L
10/09 Oscar Weightman
M25 Sintra
2-0 12-2 W
08/09 Adrien Burdet
M25 Sintra
2-0 12-7 W
01/09 Alejandro Moro Canas
Challenger Porto · Clay
1-2 11-15 L
31/08 Alafia Ayeni
Challenger Porto · Clay
2-0 13-7 W
30/08 Rodrigo Ferro Duarte
Challenger Porto · Clay
2-0 12-3 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Robin Bertrand vs Tiago Cacao?

Our model gives 56% to Robin Bertrand, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.