Tennis · M25 Setubal · 23/09, 11:00
Prediction: Jake Fellows vs Rodrigo Leal
Team pages: Jake Fellows · Rodrigo Leal
Prediction summary
Winner
Jake Fellows
Rodrigo Leal
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Jake Fellows
6-4 (W-L)
Rodrigo Leal
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jake Fellows 1574 · Rodrigo Leal 1494
| Jake Fellows | Rodrigo Leal | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 72% | 28% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jake Fellows (rating 1574 vs 1494).
- Jake Fellows is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Jake Fellows | Rodrigo Leal | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 86% (7) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.7 | 1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-9.2 | 8.4-10 |
| Aces | 3.2 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 68.5% | 63% |
| Break % | 59.3% | 46.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jake Fellows
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09 | Dino Molokova Ferreira M25 Setubal |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/09 | Chirag Duhan M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 04/09 | Aditya Balsekar M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 03/09 | Giulio Perego M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/09 | Karim Ibrahim M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 01/09 | Aryan Lakshmanan M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/08 | Ivan Gretskiy M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 25/08 | Gawad El Feky M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-1 | 9-9 | W |
| 12/08 | Matteo Sciahbasi M15 Targu Jiu |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Vito Dell'Elba M15 Targu Jiu |
2-1 | 8-9 | W |
Rodrigo Leal
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09 | Fausto Tabacco M25 Sintra |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 12/08 | Tiago Pereira M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 16/07 | Pavlos Tsitsipas M15 Castelo Branco |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 15/07 | Salvador Monteiro M15 Castelo Branco |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 13/07 | Joao Mendes M15 Castelo Branco |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/07 | Carl Emil Overbeck M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Joao Portugal M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 29/06 | Jeffrey Fradkin M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
2-1 | 8-10 | W |
| 07/05 | Tiago Pereira M25 Loule · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 06/05 | Matisse Bobichon M25 Loule · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jake Fellows vs Rodrigo Leal?
Our model gives 67% to Jake Fellows, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.