Tennis · W50 Nanao · 22/09, 03:00

Prediction: Nagi Hanatani vs Mana Kawamura

Team pages: Nagi Hanatani · Mana Kawamura

Prediction summary
Winner
60% 40%
Nagi Hanatani Mana Kawamura
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Nagi Hanatani 3-7 (W-L)
LLWLLLLWLW
Mana Kawamura 1-9 (W-L)
LLLLLLLLWL
Head-to-head
Nagi Hanatani 1–0 Mana Kawamura (1 last)
  • 08 Apr2-0 12-4W
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Nagi Hanatani 1469 · Mana Kawamura 1389
Nagi HanataniMana Kawamura
Our model61%39%
Market59%41%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nagi Hanatani (rating 1469 vs 1389).
  • Nagi Hanatani is in better form: 40% recent wins.
  • Head-to-head: Nagi Hanatani 1–0 Mana Kawamura (1).
  • Note: Nagi Hanatani makes many double faults (6/match).

Statistics

Nagi HanataniMana Kawamura
Win %40%0%
Win % · Hard 0% (4)
Sets (G-P)0.9-1.50.1-2
Games (G-P)9.8-12.35.6-12.7
Aces0.40.4
Double faults62
1st serve %56.7%45.2%
Break %41.5%41.1%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.4

H2H · Nagi Hanatani 10 Mana Kawamura (1)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Nagi Hanatani 10 Mana Kawamura

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DateSetsGamesRes.
08/04/19
ITF W25 Osaka
2-012-4W

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Nagi Hanatani

LLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
21/09 Yuka Hosoki
W50 Nanao
2-0 12-8 W
16/09 Amelia Rajecki
W35 Kyoto
0-2 6-12 L
15/09 Anri Nagata
W35 Kyoto
2-1 11-7 W
08/09 Kisa Yoshioka
W15 Yeongwol
0-2 6-13 L
02/09 Soo Ha Jang
W15 Yeongwol
1-2 16-19 L
02/08 Leticia Solakov
W75 Leipzig
0-2 6-13 L
29/07 Katerina Tsygourova
W75 Hechingen
0-2 4-12 L
28/07 Carolin Raschdorf
W75 Hechingen
2-1 15-15 W
27/07 Maria Toma
W75 Hechingen
2-1 14-12 W
19/07 Sophia Bergqvist
W35 Gentofte
0-2 8-12 L

Mana Kawamura

LLLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
15/09 Kanon Sawashiro
W35 Kyoto
0-2 4-12 L
28/07 Amy Stevens
W15 Brisbane
1-2 11-17 L
21/07 Natsuki Yoshimoto
W15 Brisbane
0-2 5-12 L
14/07 Alana Subasic
W15 Brisbane
0-2 4-12 L
24/06 Stefani Webb
W15 Sapporo
0-2 3-12 L
17/06 Natsuho Arakawa
W15 Sapporo
0-2 8-13 L
26/05 Mutsumi Uemura
W15 Fukui · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L
20/05 Emily Appleton
W35 Changwon · ~Hard
0-2 7-13 L
12/05 Hee Rae Im
W35 Andong · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L
06/05 BoYoung Jeong
W35 Changwon · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Nagi Hanatani vs Mana Kawamura?

Our model gives 60% to Nagi Hanatani, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.