Prediction: Tiana Tian Deng vs Sera Nishimoto
Team pages: Tiana Tian Deng · Sera Nishimoto
Prediction summary
Winner
Tiana Tian Deng
Sera Nishimoto
Estimated games
20.2
Recent form · 10 last
Tiana Tian Deng
7-3 (W-L)
Sera Nishimoto
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tiana Tian Deng 1540 · Sera Nishimoto 1425
| Tiana Tian Deng | Sera Nishimoto | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 66% | 34% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tiana Tian Deng (rating 1540 vs 1425).
- Tiana Tian Deng is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Sera Nishimoto makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Tiana Tian Deng | Sera Nishimoto | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 20% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (3) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 0.5-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-9.9 | 7.6-10.8 |
| Aces | 2.4 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 3.7 | 4 |
| 1st serve % | 66.4% | 53.8% |
| Break % | 45.7% | 45.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tiana Tian Deng
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09 | Yuna Sugiyama W50 Nanao |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/09 | Natsuki Yoshimoto W35 Kyoto |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 16/09 | Hiroko Kuwata W35 Kyoto |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 15/09 | Kurea Hayasaka W35 Kyoto |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 20/08 | Peangtarn Plipuech W15 Tianjin |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Kamonwan Yodpetch W15 Tianjin |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/07 | Kaitlin Quevedo WTA Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Jing-Jing Lu W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 24/06 | Yuhan Wang W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 23/06 | Xiaowei Li W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Sera Nishimoto
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09 | Hee Rae Im W35 Kyoto |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 12/08 | Shihomi Li Xuan Leong W15 Tianjin |
0-2 | 0-9 | L |
| 11/08 | Onyu Choi W15 Tianjin |
1-2 | 10-10 | L |
| 05/08 | Meiqi Guo W15 Tianjin |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 04/08 | Minxu Zhou W15 Tianjin |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/07 | Kristina Kroitor W15 Astana |
0-2 | 9-12 | L |
| 09/07 | Maria Sholokhova W15 Astana |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Nina Sozaonova W15 Astana |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 24/06 | Sae Noguchi W15 Sapporo |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Gaeul Jang W15 Sapporo |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tiana Tian Deng vs Sera Nishimoto?
Our model gives 73% to Tiana Tian Deng, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.