Prediction: Chia Yi Tsao vs Miyu Nakashima
Team pages: Chia Yi Tsao · Miyu Nakashima
Prediction summary
Winner
Chia Yi Tsao
Miyu Nakashima
Estimated games
18.9
Recent form · 10 last
Chia Yi Tsao
7-3 (W-L)
Miyu Nakashima
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Chia Yi Tsao 1511 · Miyu Nakashima 1537
| Chia Yi Tsao | Miyu Nakashima | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 86% | 14% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Chia Yi Tsao | Miyu Nakashima | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 71% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1 | 1.2-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.9-8.8 | 9.5-7.8 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 62.2% | 56% |
| Break % | 45.2% | 62.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
18.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Chia Yi Tsao
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09 | Hiromi Abe W35 Kyoto |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 12/09 | Yujin Kim W15 Yeongwol |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 11/09 | Thasaporn Naklo W15 Yeongwol |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 10/09 | Chenting Zhu W15 Yeongwol |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/09 | Min Young Choi W15 Yeongwol |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 03/09 | Naho Sato W15 Yeongwol |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/09 | Seojin Lee W15 Yeongwol |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 18/08 | Na Ri Kim W15 Tianjin |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Yushan Shao W15 Tianjin |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 12/08 | Yingqun Sun W15 Tianjin |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Miyu Nakashima
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09 | Eme Shinchi W50 Nanao |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 15/09 | Mutsumi Uemura W35 Kyoto |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Chenting Zhu W15 Yeongwol |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/03 | Honoka Uchiyama UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 12/03 | Michiru Furuya UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 11/03 | Miyu Kusakabe UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 09/03 | Aoi Yoshida UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 07/03 | Mua Shigeta UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 06/03 | Haruka Nishimura UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/03 | Junri Namigata UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Chia Yi Tsao vs Miyu Nakashima?
Our model gives 68% to Chia Yi Tsao, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.