Tennis · W35 Santa Margherita · 22/09, 09:30

Prediction: Noemi Maines vs Barbara Dessolis

Team pages: Noemi Maines · Barbara Dessolis

Prediction summary
Winner
67% 33%
Noemi Maines Barbara Dessolis
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Noemi Maines 4-6 (W-L)
LLWWWLLWLL
Barbara Dessolis 4-6 (W-L)
LWWLLWWLLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Noemi Maines 1496 · Barbara Dessolis 1430
Noemi MainesBarbara Dessolis
Our model59%41%
Market73%27%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Noemi Maines (rating 1496 vs 1430).
  • Noemi Maines is in better form: 50% recent wins.
  • Note: Noemi Maines makes many double faults (5.7/match).

Statistics

Noemi MainesBarbara Dessolis
Win %50%20%
Win % · Clay 0% (2) 29% (7)
Sets (G-P)1-1.30.7-1.7
Games (G-P)11.1-128.3-11.2
Aces0.61.1
Double faults5.73.4
1st serve %51.8%55.5%
Break %53.6%50.8%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.6

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Noemi Maines

WLWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
16/09 Briana Szabo
W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay
0-2 11-14 L
10/09 Marta Lombardini
W15 Viserba Di Rimini
0-2 7-12 L
09/09 Anna Petkovic
W15 Viserba Di Rimini
2-0 13-8 W
06/09 Federica Trevisan
W15 Fiano Romano
0-2 6-13 L
05/09 Agnese Gentili
W15 Fiano Romano
2-1 17-12 W
04/09 Carolina Gasparini
W15 Fiano Romano
2-1 15-13 W
03/09 Eleonora Alvisi
W15 Fiano Romano
2-0 12-8 W
01/09 Maddalena Giordano
W15 Fiano Romano
2-1 18-16 W
11/08 Ilay Yoruk
W15 Bucharest · ~Clay
0-2 7-12 L
26/07 Demi Tran
W100 Gran Canaria
0-2 5-12 L

Barbara Dessolis

LLLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
16/09 Viola Turini
W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay
0-2 2-12 L
15/09 Chiara Fornasieri
W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay
1-2 8-7 L
09/09 Eva Marie Voracek
W15 Viserba Di Rimini
0-2 3-12 L
30/07 Sara Mikaca
W15 Rogaska Slatina
1-2 14-16 L
14/07 Romane Longueville
W15 Krsko
1-2 11-17 L
20/05 Aurora Nosei
W15 Grado · ~Clay
0-2 6-13 L
07/05 Laura Hietaranta
W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
06/05 Lingling Zhu
W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay
2-1 16-9 W
05/05 Carlotta Bassotti
W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay
2-0 12-2 W
23/04 Dunja Maric
W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Noemi Maines vs Barbara Dessolis?

Our model gives 67% to Noemi Maines, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.