Tennis · M25 Santa Margherita · 22/09, 11:00
Prediction: Matteo Mura vs Giacomo Crisostomo
Team pages: Matteo Mura · Giacomo Crisostomo
Prediction summary
Winner
Matteo Mura
Giacomo Crisostomo
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Matteo Mura
4-6 (W-L)
Giacomo Crisostomo
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Matteo Mura 1457 · Giacomo Crisostomo 1446
| Matteo Mura | Giacomo Crisostomo | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Matteo Mura | Giacomo Crisostomo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (9) | 29% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.5 | 0.6-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.3-10.8 | 8.6-10.2 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 1.1 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 58.8% | 67.6% |
| Break % | 46.5% | 29.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Matteo Mura
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09 | Filippo Francesco Garbero M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/09 | Lucas Renard M15 Budapest |
1-2 | 10-11 | L |
| 04/05 | Matteo Vavassori M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 27/04 | Gianmarco Ferrari M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 22/04 | Tommaso Compagnucci M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 20/04 | Nikolai Barsukov M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/04 | Tommaso Compagnucci M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 13/04 | Leonardo Malgaroli M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 11-7 | W |
| 06/04 | Pietro Marino M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 20/10 | Sebastiano Cocola M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Giacomo Crisostomo
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09 | Manuel Mazza M15 Bologna · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 27/08 | Radu David Turcanu M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Louis Allen M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-0 | 9-1 | W |
| 19/08 | Kasra Rahmani M25 Lesa |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 18/08 | Daniel Lechner M25 Lesa |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 28/07 | Gabriele Pennaforti M25 Bolzano · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Vito Antonio Darderi M15 Gubbio |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 22/06 | Antonio Caruso M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 18/06 | Theo Papamalamis M15 Bourg-en-Bresse · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Matteo Vavassori M15 Bourg-en-Bresse · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Matteo Mura vs Giacomo Crisostomo?
Our model gives 52% to Giacomo Crisostomo, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.