Tennis · M25 Santa Margherita · 22/09, 12:30
Prediction: Gabriele Crivellaro vs Daniele Minighini
Team pages: Gabriele Crivellaro · Daniele Minighini
Prediction summary
Winner
Gabriele Crivellaro
Daniele Minighini
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Gabriele Crivellaro
2-8 (W-L)
Daniele Minighini
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gabriele Crivellaro 1489 · Daniele Minighini 1504
| Gabriele Crivellaro | Daniele Minighini | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 77% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Gabriele Crivellaro | Daniele Minighini | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (8) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.3 | 1-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.7-11 | 8.8-9.4 |
| Aces | 4.3 | 2.3 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 69.4% | 65.2% |
| Break % | 35.4% | 45.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gabriele Crivellaro
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09 | Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 08/09 | Enrico Dalla Valle Challenger Genoa · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 05/09 | Manuel Mazza M15 Bologna · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 04/09 | Leonardo Primucci M15 Bologna · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 03/09 | Marcello Serafini M15 Bologna · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 02/09 | Nik Mikovic M15 Bologna · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 20/08 | Marcel Zielinski M15 Mistelbach |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 18/08 | Radovan Michalik M15 Mistelbach |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 10/08 | Carlo Alberto Caniato Challenger Todi · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 09/08 | Federico Arnaboldi Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
Daniele Minighini
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09 | Matteo Mesaglio M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 01/09 | Mak Mikovic M15 Bologna · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Robert Guna M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 25/08 | Hugo Maurice M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-0 | 10-5 | W |
| 19/08 | Richard Antoni M15 Krakow |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 18/08 | Mikolaj Borkowski M15 Krakow |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/08 | Michele Mecarelli M25 Fano |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 03/08 | Pierre Antoine Tailleu M25 Fano |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 28/07 | Izan Orgiles Garcia Retamero M15 Xativa |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 13/07 | Gian Marco Ortenzi M15 Gubbio |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gabriele Crivellaro vs Daniele Minighini?
Our model gives 64% to Gabriele Crivellaro, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.