Tennis · W35 Santa Margherita · 23/09, 10:00
Prediction: Alena Kovackova vs Tilwith Di Girolami
Team pages: Alena Kovackova · Tilwith Di Girolami
Prediction summary
Winner
Alena Kovackova
Tilwith Di Girolami
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Alena Kovackova
7-3 (W-L)
Tilwith Di Girolami
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alena Kovackova 1531 · Tilwith Di Girolami 1528
| Alena Kovackova | Tilwith Di Girolami | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 81% | 19% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Alena Kovackova | Tilwith Di Girolami | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 1.4-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-9.1 | 11-9 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 0.3 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 1.6 |
| 1st serve % | 61.7% | 56.3% |
| Break % | 52.8% | 52.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alena Kovackova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | Loes Ebeling Koning W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer |
0-2 | 6-10 | L |
| 26/08 | Eva Bennemann W50 Oldenzaal |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 25/08 | Maria Toma W50 Oldenzaal |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 24/08 | Laura Boehner W50 Oldenzaal |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 21/08 | Jana Kovackova W50 Prague |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 20/08 | Alicia Herrero Linana W50 Prague |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 19/08 | Beatrise Zeltina W50 Prague |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 17/08 | Eva Marie Voracek W50 Prague |
2-1 | 15-8 | W |
| 07/08 | Irene Burillo Escorihuela W75 Leipzig |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/08 | Lina Gjorcheska W75 Leipzig |
2-0 | 8-2 | W |
Tilwith Di Girolami
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/08 | Victoria Pohle W15 Wanfercee-Baulet |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 19/08 | Ava Schueller W15 Wanfercee-Baulet |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 07/08 | Loes Ebeling Koning W75 Koksijde |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 06/08 | Briana Szabo W75 Koksijde |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 05/08 | Diletta Cherubini W75 Koksijde |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 03/08 | Maria Martinez Vaquero W75 Koksijde |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/08 | Sarah Van Emst W75 Koksijde |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 30/07 | Irina Balus W50 Knokke-Heist |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Justina Mikulskyte W50 Knokke-Heist |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 27/07 | Yara Bartashevich W50 Knokke-Heist |
2-1 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alena Kovackova vs Tilwith Di Girolami?
Our model gives 67% to Alena Kovackova, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.