Tennis · W35 Santa Margherita · 23/09, 10:00
Prediction: Vittoria Paganetti vs Oceane Babel
Team pages: Vittoria Paganetti · Oceane Babel
Prediction summary
Winner
Vittoria Paganetti
Oceane Babel
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Vittoria Paganetti
7-3 (W-L)
Oceane Babel
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Vittoria Paganetti 1556 · Oceane Babel 1518
| Vittoria Paganetti | Oceane Babel | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 49% | 51% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Vittoria Paganetti makes many double faults (8.1/match).
Statistics
| Vittoria Paganetti | Oceane Babel | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 70% (10) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.6 | 1.5-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-7.1 | 13.4-10.5 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 1 |
| Double faults | 8.1 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 68.2% | 57.7% |
| Break % | 62.8% | 57.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Vittoria Paganetti
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/09 | Ilary Pistola W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 16/09 | Beatrice Stagno W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/08 | Felitsata Dorofeeva-Rybas W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 07/08 | Arina Bulatova W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/08 | Galena Krastenova W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 04/08 | Sofija Milenkovic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 11-4 | W |
| 01/08 | Rebecca Munk Mortensen W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 31/07 | Aya El Aouni W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 30/07 | Gala Ivanovic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 28/07 | Sarafina Olivia Hansen W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Oceane Babel
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09 | Ilary Pistola W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 17/09 | Anna Petkovic W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 16/09 | Eleonora Alvisi W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/09 | Federica Urgesi W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Mayuka Aikawa W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 12/08 | Rachel Gailis W15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 22/07 | Martina Capurro Taborda W75 Vacaria |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 19/07 | Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez W35 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 18/07 | Daria Egorova W35 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 17/07 | Ana Sofia Sanchez W35 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Vittoria Paganetti vs Oceane Babel?
Our model gives 52% to Vittoria Paganetti, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.