Tennis · M25 Santa Margherita · 22/09, 12:30
Prediction: Alessandro Bellifemine vs Samuele Seghetti
Team pages: Alessandro Bellifemine · Samuele Seghetti
Prediction summary
Winner
Alessandro Bellifemine
Samuele Seghetti
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Alessandro Bellifemine
7-3 (W-L)
Samuele Seghetti
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alessandro Bellifemine 1541 · Samuele Seghetti 1505
| Alessandro Bellifemine | Samuele Seghetti | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Alessandro Bellifemine | Samuele Seghetti | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (10) | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.9 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.4-8.8 | 11.6-10.7 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 2.2 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 65.8% | 70.1% |
| Break % | 56.2% | 48.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alessandro Bellifemine
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09 | Mattias Pisanu M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 03/09 | Branko Djuric M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Radovan Michalik M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 27/08 | Anton Arzhankin M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 26/08 | Samuil Chestovaliev M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/08 | Timofei Derepasko M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Parth Aggarwal M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 31/07 | Veljko Krstic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 30/07 | Dimitar Kisimov M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 29/07 | Artur Kukasian M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Samuele Seghetti
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09 | Eric Vanshelboim M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 14/09 | Flavio Bocci M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/09 | Blu Baker M15 Bologna · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 27/08 | Kenny de Schepper M15 Cap d'Agde |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 26/08 | Dorian Tremblay M15 Cap d'Agde |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 23/08 | Laurent Lokoli M25 Lesa |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 22/08 | Andrea De Marchi M25 Lesa |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/08 | Lorenzo Rottoli M25 Lesa |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 18/08 | Gianmarco Ferrari M25 Lesa |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 08/07 | Petr Michnev M15 Lodz |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alessandro Bellifemine vs Samuele Seghetti?
Our model gives 50% to Alessandro Bellifemine, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.