Tennis · M25 Santa Margherita · 22/09, 11:00
Prediction: Daniel Michalski vs Lorenzo Beraldo
Team pages: Daniel Michalski · Lorenzo Beraldo
Prediction summary
Winner
Daniel Michalski
Lorenzo Beraldo
Estimated games
19.8
Recent form · 10 last
Daniel Michalski
9-1 (W-L)
Lorenzo Beraldo
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Daniel Michalski 1610 · Lorenzo Beraldo 1466
| Daniel Michalski | Lorenzo Beraldo | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 70% | 30% |
| Market | 91% | 9% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Daniel Michalski (rating 1610 vs 1466).
- Daniel Michalski is in better form: 90% recent wins.
Statistics
| Daniel Michalski | Lorenzo Beraldo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (1) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.2 | 0.7-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-5.6 | 7.6-10.2 |
| Aces | 2.2 | 0.4 |
| Double faults | 3 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 75.9% | 58.9% |
| Break % | 59.4% | 32.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Daniel Michalski
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09 | Marvin Moeller Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/08 | Michael Savano M25 Poznan |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 29/08 | Nikita Mashtakov M25 Poznan |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 28/08 | Matyas Cerny M25 Poznan |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/08 | Jan Wygona M25 Poznan |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 26/08 | Franco Ribero M25 Poznan |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 23/08 | Michael Agwi M15 Krakow |
2-0 | 9-2 | W |
| 22/08 | Jan Sadzik M15 Krakow |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 21/08 | Tom Zeuch M15 Krakow |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 20/08 | Lorenzo Berto M15 Krakow |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Lorenzo Beraldo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09 | Alessandro Mondazzi M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/09 | Dimitris Sakellaridis Challenger Biella · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 08/09 | Matic Dimic M15 Budapest |
1-2 | 9-10 | L |
| 02/09 | Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini M15 Bologna · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Pierluigi Basile M25 Lesa |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 03/08 | Nicola Rispoli M25 Fano |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 28/07 | Pietro Romeo Scomparin M25 Bolzano · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 27/07 | Federico Bove M25 Bolzano · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 26/07 | Laurens Harnoth Manrubia M25 Bolzano · ~Clay |
2-1 | 8-8 | W |
| 22/07 | Raffaele Ciurnelli M15 Segrate |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Daniel Michalski vs Lorenzo Beraldo?
Our model gives 81% to Daniel Michalski, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.